The graph simply correlates the average overall political leaning of a county with vaccination rates. This logic would be true if:
Being a Trump voter and refusing vaccination are 100% biconditional. They're simply not. There are plenty of vaccinated Trump voters and there are also plenty of non-vaccinated Democrats and Libertarians. (i.e: Ivanka, Melania Trump being vaccinated, also Latinos and blacks being more vaccine-hesitant, yet more likely to vote blue)
As of yesterday 50% of Americans (now around 51%) have already received at least one shot already. This kind of throws a wrench in your reasoning, no?
Science 101 tells us not to draw drastic conclusions about causation from simple, weak correlations. Hope I'm not down-dooted for dissenting deductive reasoning.
How will this reveal the true election results?
If the percentage of non-vaccinated is higher than 50% - and it’s “Trump Supporters” that are refusing - then Trump Support is greater than 50%
The graph simply correlates the average overall political leaning of a county with vaccination rates. This logic would be true if:
Being a Trump voter and refusing vaccination are 100% biconditional. They're simply not. There are plenty of vaccinated Trump voters and there are also plenty of non-vaccinated Democrats and Libertarians. (i.e: Ivanka, Melania Trump being vaccinated, also Latinos and blacks being more vaccine-hesitant, yet more likely to vote blue)
As of yesterday 50% of Americans (now around 51%) have already received at least one shot already. This kind of throws a wrench in your reasoning, no?
Science 101 tells us not to draw drastic conclusions about causation from simple, weak correlations. Hope I'm not down-dooted for dissenting deductive reasoning.
Yep. I learned from reading Thomas Sowell: Correlation is not causation.