Although I believe the vaccines are extremely unsafe and completely ineffective, this article destroys their own credibility when they explain how their numbers are calculated, because it is all wrong. Now perhaps their results are correct but the writer doesn't understand math and screwed it all up.
From the article
The formula used to calculate the real-world effectiveness of the Covid-19 vaccines was based on the exact calculation used by Pfizer to demonstrate that their vaccine had an alleged effectiveness of 95%.
U = No. of Cases among the unvaccinated
V = No. of Cases among the fully vaccinated
U – V / U = Vaccine Effectiveness
This doesn't make any sense at all. If U is 10,000 and V is 20,000, then
U - V/U = 10000 - 20000/10000 = 10000 - 2 = 9998
WTF?
Unless the writer doesn't understand mathematical expressions.
It must be they meant. (U-V)/U.
So (10000-20000)/10000 which would result in -1, or -100% effectiveness.
However, this is also meaningless because even if you are doing a random statistical sample, U and V would be heavily dependent on the makeup of the population. Lets say 85% of the population is vaccinated, and 15% un-vaxxed.
Well, you can't compare U and V directly because there are so many more vaxxed than unvaxxed in your sample. For example, if 10% of the people in both groups get infected, meaning 0% effectiveness, lets see how well (U-V)/U works.
Say the number of tests done is 100,000.
85% of them were vaxxed, so 85,000 people were tested
15% of them were unvaxxed, so 15,000 unvaxxed were tested
10% of both groups were covid positive
So you found 8,500 vaccinated people with covid
And you found 1,500 unvaxxed people with covid.
According to the article U=8,500 and V=1,500
Now you do their calculation
(1500-8500)/1500 = -4.67 or -467% effective.
Do you see the problem? If the calculation worked, it should be 0%, not -467%.
But the 'Number of cases' value is pretty much a completely fungible number that has no meaning. The more you test, the more you find. Governments around the world have been using this meaningless metric to strip our freedom.
For example. If a State government wants a spike in the number of cases, they can order all students in public schools get tested for Covid-19. You can have universities demand all students get tested. At the same time, the media can run stories about a new variant and that everybody should get tested even if they have no symptoms. Boom! You find a huge spike in the number of cases.
No conclusions can be made from any numbers generated based on 'number of cases' unless your number of cases is from a random sample of the population, and I don't believe any of these numbers are.
They are using their formula as a direct comparison. Get it? Yes the parentheses we're omitted ().
By using THEIR own calculator, they are proven wrong. They cannot dispute. Otherwise they admit they lied or manipulated or intentionally misled with a shitty formula.
TLDR:
Although I believe the vaccines are extremely unsafe and completely ineffective, this article destroys their own credibility when they explain how their numbers are calculated, because it is all wrong. Now perhaps their results are correct but the writer doesn't understand math and screwed it all up.
From the article
This doesn't make any sense at all. If U is 10,000 and V is 20,000, then
U - V/U = 10000 - 20000/10000 = 10000 - 2 = 9998
WTF?
Unless the writer doesn't understand mathematical expressions.
It must be they meant. (U-V)/U.
So (10000-20000)/10000 which would result in -1, or -100% effectiveness.
However, this is also meaningless because even if you are doing a random statistical sample, U and V would be heavily dependent on the makeup of the population. Lets say 85% of the population is vaccinated, and 15% un-vaxxed.
Well, you can't compare U and V directly because there are so many more vaxxed than unvaxxed in your sample. For example, if 10% of the people in both groups get infected, meaning 0% effectiveness, lets see how well (U-V)/U works.
Say the number of tests done is 100,000.
85% of them were vaxxed, so 85,000 people were tested 15% of them were unvaxxed, so 15,000 unvaxxed were tested
10% of both groups were covid positive
So you found 8,500 vaccinated people with covid
And you found 1,500 unvaxxed people with covid.
According to the article U=8,500 and V=1,500
Now you do their calculation
(1500-8500)/1500 = -4.67 or -467% effective.
Do you see the problem? If the calculation worked, it should be 0%, not -467%.
But the 'Number of cases' value is pretty much a completely fungible number that has no meaning. The more you test, the more you find. Governments around the world have been using this meaningless metric to strip our freedom.
For example. If a State government wants a spike in the number of cases, they can order all students in public schools get tested for Covid-19. You can have universities demand all students get tested. At the same time, the media can run stories about a new variant and that everybody should get tested even if they have no symptoms. Boom! You find a huge spike in the number of cases.
No conclusions can be made from any numbers generated based on 'number of cases' unless your number of cases is from a random sample of the population, and I don't believe any of these numbers are.
They are using their formula as a direct comparison. Get it? Yes the parentheses we're omitted ().
By using THEIR own calculator, they are proven wrong. They cannot dispute. Otherwise they admit they lied or manipulated or intentionally misled with a shitty formula.
The formula doesn't matter.
It's the comparison.
My problem is that this site is always “8 days away from disaster” unless you contribute NOW.
Kek. They probably keep the disaster in a closet somewhere, just so they aren't always lying....