According to ballotpedia...

In the Aug 2nd primary election, a total of ~219,000 votes were cast, including ~68,000 for the Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Pérez. The combined vote total for the 5 Republican candidates was ~146,000 votes.

In the Nov 8th general election, a total of ~305,000 votes have reportedly been counted so far, allegedly including ~154,000 votes for Marie Gluesenkamp Pérez. MAGA Republican Joe Kent reportedly has ~149,500.

So they're trying to tell us that almost 90,000 more votes were cast in the general, and basically all of them went to the DemocRAT Marie Gluesenkamp Pérez? 🤔

Reminder, this is Washington State, which uses 100% no excuse mail in (or drop box) ballot voting. Clark County WA has some of the worst rolls in the country. Primaries are open and nonpartisan, with top 2 candidates advancing.

Ballotpedia estimates population in the district at ~770,000. Even if we assume that 2/3 are eligible voters, thats about 500,000 voters. So allegedly a 60% general turnout, compared to a 43% primary turnout, and a 40% increase in turnout from primary to general.

In 2020, the primary saw 241,000 votes. The general had 418,000 votes, 100,000 more than this year. So unless the District lost 100,000 voters to death/moving/redistricting, that either means 100,000 ballots have yet to be counted, or 100,000 people did not vote, or something fishy is going on.

One might say, but lower turn out for midterm years. Yes, the 2018 midterms only had 310,000 votes for the general. But excluding 2020, the three previous presidential election years were right around 300,000 votes. Even in 2008, it was 338,000. Midterms compared to presidential, are consistent, up until 2020, with the record 418,000 votes.

Consider:

Following the 2020 Census, the 3rd district was slightly changed during redistricting, losing Klickitat county to the 4th district and gaining an additional small sliver of Thurston county from the 10th district. The new 3rd district was marginally more favorable for Republicans, voting for Trump in 2020 by a margin of 4.2%, as opposed to the old district's 3.7%.

So by all measures, a Trump backed MAGA candidate was at even stronger odds to win this year. And yet, here we are with reported numbers that make absolutely no sense and Joe Kent about to have the race stolen from him.