Change in data is going to be expected as reports are allocated, considering not every death will be reported immediately, but I appreciate the data you sent!
A few things to note:
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In the updated dataset that I have, adjustments include additional deaths in later months, to be expected, but actually also include adjustments that REMOVE deaths. Thus, it's not really much to prove that they are fudging numbers to boost deaths when they are also lowering the death count in other weeks. Data is not perfect, and adjustments are always going to be necessary. This is likely why they have not release their full mortality report yet. However, more importantly:
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Your data only goes through to the 1st of November. The new dataset is higher, yes, but it's still not accounting for 2 full months of data. If we take your dataset, and continue week to week to the end of the year keeping the average number of deaths per week from 1-44 (60.7K), we hit WELL over the 3million mark. Now, it's possible that counts are actually lower. So if we take it to 40K deaths per week for the rest of the year, a generous low, we still hit really close to that 3million mark (2.99 million), well over the count from last year. Again, this is utilizing your dataset.
Ultimately, the comparison you're making is the entire death count of 2019 vs the death count of 2020 from January through November 1st.
Your data may be lower than the updated data, but as you yourself admit, it still doesn't account for 2 full months of deaths. Continuing on that trend it shows that the overall deaths in the country have increased significantly.
Change in data is going to be expected as reports are allocated, considering not every death will be reported immediately, but I appreciate the data you sent!
A few things to note:
-
In the updated dataset that I have, adjustments include additional deaths in later months, to be expected, but actually also include adjustments that REMOVE deaths. Thus, it's not really much to prove that they are fudging numbers to boost deaths when they are also lowering the death count in other weeks. Data is not perfect, and adjustments are always going to be necessary. This is likely why they have not release their full mortality report yet
-
And more importantly, your data only goes through to the 1st of November. The new dataset is higher, yes, but it's still not accounting for 2 full months of data. If we take your dataset, and continue week to week to the end of the year keeping the average number of deaths per week from 1-44 (60.7K), we hit WELL over the 3million mark. Now, it's possible that counts are actually lower. So if we take it to 40K deaths per week for the rest of the year, a generous low, we still hit really close to that 3million mark (2.99 million), well over the count from last year. Again, this is utilizing your dataset.
Your data may be lower than the updated data, but as you yourself admit, it still doesn't account for 2 full months of deaths. Continuing on that trend it shows that the overall deaths in the country have increased significantly.