Found the sauce: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios-archive/planning-ccenarios-2021-03-19.pdf

Bottom of page 5, "Infection Fatality Ratio". Those are "current best estimates", not "current best case scenario", meaning every other scenario estimate is either way better or way worse.

The document is from 2019, meaning those numbers should date from then and have only been included on Sept. 10 2020. More than a year ago.

Also, this is forecasting of future numbers from back then, not studies of past numbers from today.

Found the sauce: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios-archive/planning-ccenarios-2021-03-19.pdf

Bottom of page 5, "Infection Fatality Ratio". Those are "current best estimates", not "current best case scenario", meaning every other scenario estimate is either way better or way worse.

The document is from 2019, meaning those numbers should date from then.

Also, this is forecasting of future numbers from back then, not studies of past numbers from today.

Found the sauce: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios-archive/planning-ccenarios-2021-03-19.pdf

Bottom of page 5, "Infection Fatality Ratio". Those are "current best estimates", not "current best case scenario", meaning every other scenario estimate is either way better or way worse.

Also, this is forecasting of future numbers, not studies of past numbers.