2019 seemed abnormally low when compared to the previous 3 years. It was also abnormally flat when compared to all other years. Might be just a coincidence but it would be interesting to get an explanation for this.
Canada did not start distributing the vaccine everywhere until mid 2021. However, what we do see is that once the vaccine was introduced, the seasonal increase and decrease of excess deaths normally associated with respiratory viruses stopped completely in favour of an upward trend. This does tend to suggest that with everything else being equal, the vaccine is the extra factor that is creating this.
It looked like excess deaths were increasing going into early March at a normal season flu/respiratory virus rate but then skyrocketed in late March and April. People might think this suggests that it was COVID except that COVID was already around up until March of 2021. What did start in late March and early April in Canada was the hard lockdowns which caused unknown levels of damage to people (increased rates of suicide for example, but not limited to this). In addition, you have to keep in mind that people's medical treatment for things like cancer were suspended during the COVID panic so that would have definitely killed people too. From just these numbers, it would not be possible to definitively show how many deaths were caused by lockdowns and related measures versus how many (if any) were caused by the actual virus however they do hint that the lockdowns were a major contributing factor given the timing and the change in the shape of the curve.
I think the first bump in 2020 is from overdose deaths (exacerbated by lockdowns) which have since remained steady. The second bump is probably from the vax.
I have the following notes about these number:
2019 seemed abnormally low when compared to the previous 3 years. It was also abnormally flat when compared to all other years. Might be just a coincidence but it would be interesting to get an explanation for this.
Canada did not start distributing the vaccine everywhere until mid 2021. However, what we do see is that once the vaccine was introduced, the seasonal increase and decrease of excess deaths normally associated with respiratory viruses stopped completely in favour of an upward trend. This does tend to suggest that with everything else being equal, the vaccine is the extra factor that is creating this.
It looked like excess deaths were increasing going into early March at a normal season flu/respiratory virus rate but then skyrocketed in late March and April. People might think this suggests that it was COVID except that COVID was already around up until March of 2021. What did start in late March and early April in Canada was the hard lockdowns which caused unknown levels of damage to people (increased rates of suicide for example, but not limited to this). In addition, you have to keep in mind that people's medical treatment for things like cancer were suspended during the COVID panic so that would have definitely killed people too. From just these numbers, it would not be possible to definitively show how many deaths were caused by lockdowns and related measures versus how many (if any) were caused by the actual virus however they do hint that the lockdowns were a major contributing factor given the timing and the change in the shape of the curve.
I think the first bump in 2020 is from overdose deaths (exacerbated by lockdowns) which have since remained steady. The second bump is probably from the vax.
https://i.imgur.com/7LZHws0.png
https://i.imgur.com/2RjkqX0.png
http://www.bccdc.ca/resource-gallery/Documents/Statistics%20and%20Research/Statistics%20and%20Reports/Overdose/Overdose%20Response%20Indicator%20Report.pdf