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25
My midterm Senate prediction. Thoughts? (media.greatawakening.win)
posted 2 years ago by MatthewDiDonato 2 years ago by MatthewDiDonato +25 / -0
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– HereForTheBigReveal 1 point 2 years ago +1 / -0

I think this is a really good estimation of where we end up. I’ve been following the data from five thirty eight and it shows very similar outcomes. Biggest questions are the PNW, especially Oregon as well as Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. One difference is that the data from five thirty eight isn’t giving AZ much of a fighting chance but I believe it has a chance to go fully red with senate and governor races.

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– MatthewDiDonato [S] 3 points 2 years ago +3 / -0

538 has been my go-to as well. Obviously polls are bullshit nowadays but 538 uses an average rather than its own poll.

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– HereForTheBigReveal 1 point 2 years ago +1 / -0

If anyone is interested

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/

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