it has been two years of " this is the big one "

This is why people make jokes about clockfags. Trying to predict the future is extremely difficult (doubly so when you aren't actually an insider), so if you keep placing all your hopes in predicted events, rather than observing what happens, you will continually be disappointed like that.

This is an information war. It will not follow easily understood patterns. Be like that Japanese pilot that continued fighting WW2 for over 50 years, alone on a jungle island.

it has been two years of " this is the big one "

This is why people make jokes about clockfags. Trying to predict the future is extremely difficult (doubly so when you aren't actually an insider), so if you keep placing all your hopes in predicted events, rather than observing what happens, you will continually be disappointed like that.

This is an information war. It will not follow easily understood patterns.