Thank you for this! It clearly represents a lot of effort.
Given the thoroughness of your post, I was assuming that you had an expanded version, perhaps with citations. Is that is something you could point us to?
For example, assuming the survival rate of Covid being 99.5% (It is hard to get a real number, since it is grossly over-reported, and we don't know what the rate would be if everyone was given the therapeutics you list), then we have a death rate of 1:200 (which I believe is the high end). Then assuming that vaccine deaths are underestimated by a factor of 5 (I had been assuming 10, based on a Stanford study quoted by Simone Gold, as the typically under-reporting factor for vaccines), then death by vaccine is about 1:4000. Similarly, serious side effects would occur in 1:100 cases.
Then there are the unknowns regarding "pathogenic priming" which I assume means "an over-reaction to the virus should a vaccinated person actual encounter it" and other systemic damages to the body that affect quality of life down the road.
Looking at pathogenic priming: assuming everyone is exposed to the virus (worst case), let's look at a population of 4000 people:
Not Vaccinated: 20 people die (1:200)
Vaccinated: 1 dies from vaccine, 40 die from pathogenic priming (1% of 3999)
Note that effect of pathogenic priming is non-trivial, even given your small estimate. You have to survive the vaccine AND subsequent exposure to Covid. In fact, you could argue the vaccine makes it more likely that you would die from Covid (1:100) instead of (1:200). No wonder Fauci has recommended continued wearing of the mask even after vaccination.
[Spez: I realized after I wrote this that getting Covid under "pathogenic priming" does not necessarily means that you die. The death rate is probably higher than 1:200, but it is unknown. It should definitely be worse than catching Covid if you have not been vaccinated]
Thank you for this! It clearly represents a lot of effort.
Given the thoroughness of your post, I was assuming that you had an expanded version, perhaps with citations. Is that is something you could point us to?
For example, assuming the survival rate of Covid being 99.5% (It is hard to get a real number, since it is grossly over-reported, and we don't know what the rate would be if everyone was given the therapeutics you list), then we have a death rate of 1:200 (which I believe is the high end). Then assuming that vaccine deaths are underestimated by a factor of 5 (I had been assuming 10, based on a Stanford study quoted by Simone Gold, as the typically under-reporting factor for vaccines), then death by vaccine is about 1:4000. Similarly, serious side effects would occur in 1:100 cases.
Then there are the unknowns regarding "pathogenic priming" which I assume means "an over-reaction to the virus should a vaccinated person actual encounter it" and other systemic damages to the body that affect quality of life down the road.
Looking at pathogenic priming: assuming everyone is exposed to the virus (worst case), let's look at a population of 4000 people:
Not Vaccinated: 20 people die (1:200)
Vaccinated: 1 dies from vaccine, 40 die from pathogenic priming (1% of 3999)
Note that effect of pathogenic priming is non-trivial, even given your small estimate. You have to survive the vaccine AND subsequent exposure to Covid. In fact, you could argue the vaccine makes it more likely that you would die from Covid (1:100) instead of (1:200). No wonder Fauci has recommended continued wearing of the mask even after vaccination.