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Reason: Fixed my math

Someone please explain to me how Clandestine and others seem to think we will get control of the Senate? It was a 50/50 tie before the elections. We lost PA. We won't know anything about GA until December but we will probably lose that as well since Walker isn't the best candidate and GA is really good at cheating.

We are tied 48-48 now. AK, AZ, NV, and GA are still outstanding. Republicans lead in AK and NV. Dems lead in GA and AZ. For us to get the Senate we have to win 3 of 4 and I don't see it unless somehow Walker becomes a better candidate, and we get a miracle that causes republicans to come out and vote in the runoff in December. Why would they do that if they didn't show up in droves in November?

As for Masters in AZ - who knows? He is down something like 90,000 votes to an incumbent dem. If Kari wins then it could be possible that the downballot votes go for him as well but if she loses there is very little chance he will win. The current percentages say 66% of the votes are in. It looks like there are 1.8M votes so far so that should mean there are 600k still out. That means Masters would have to get at least %69 of the outstanding votes to win - 345k to 300k. It's possible if the votes waiting to be counted are all from red areas, but I don't know...

Edited - My math was wrong. There should be 900k votes still out, so Masters would need at least 495k, or 55% of the outstanding votes. I should have taken my time.

1 year ago
1 score
Reason: Original

Someone please explain to me how Clandestine and others seem to think we will get control of the Senate? It was a 50/50 tie before the elections. We lost PA. We won't know anything about GA until December but we will probably lose that as well since Walker isn't the best candidate and GA is really good at cheating.

We are tied 48-48 now. AK, AZ, NV, and GA are still outstanding. Republicans lead in AK and NV. Dems lead in GA and AZ. For us to get the Senate we have to win 3 of 4 and I don't see it unless somehow Walker becomes a better candidate, and we get a miracle that causes republicans to come out and vote in the runoff in December. Why would they do that if they didn't show up in droves in November?

As for Masters in AZ - who knows? He is down something like 90,000 votes to an incumbent dem. If Kari wins then it could be possible that the downballot votes go for him as well but if she loses there is very little chance he will win. The current percentages say 66% of the votes are in. It looks like there are 1.8M votes so far so that should mean there are 600k still out. That means Masters would have to get at least %69 of the outstanding votes to win - 345k to 300k. It's possible if the votes waiting to be counted are all from red areas, but I don't know...

1 year ago
1 score