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posted ago by smartbaum ago by smartbaum +11 / -0

LIke many thoughtful and focused frogs I've been thinking today and had a thought pop out of my thinking... I would guess that any predictions or expectations of what, when or how things will play out will by definition not be the actual case, even from the decodes and dot-connections by seasoned autists (though they may get close)...

Why - because those are scenarios already war-gamed and counter-measured by the DS in some form or another. Yes, they may be stupid relative to the long and patient game of the white hats, but they are not purely haphazard or purely reactionary. They clearly must have already theorized in similar ways how and when this will play out just like what's been discussed here and on other boards, they surely have ensured things will not happen in those ways, i.e. any of the ways we would expect or hope. Even these kinds of last minute appointments and re-orgs cannot be totally unexpected by the DS.

Both sides have leverage, and it is an extremely low probability that events surrounding tomorrow's inauguration will be extraordinary and highly disruptive. Not only because of DS insurance policies / leverage, but highly disruptive events are potentially more damaging wrt the fallout in society at large compared to immediate strategic successes.

We'd probably be better to assume that the white hates have already checkmated in this game in ways only they and the DS know, and the effects and disclosure will be a slow and minimally damaging rollout.

My view as of now is open to challenge but that's where I now stand. Thoughts?