Clinton’s arrest is falsifiable and therefore can have functional statistical analysis done on it. She either is or is not arrested. Deltas make me skeptical, but I can still do analysis on the math, because again, the prediction is falsifiable.
The McCain thing is not. There is simply no way to run any math on that kind of problem. Predicting the likelihood of two random events coinciding together is impossible unless you can also calculate the possibility of them NOT coinciding, and since we’re dealing with a mathematically open system, I don’t see how that’s possible.
Clinton’s arrest is falsifiable and therefore can have functional statistical analysis done on it. She either is or is not arrested. Deltas make me skeptical, but I can still do analysis on the math, because again, the prediction is falsifiable.
The McCain thing is not. There is simply no way to run any math on that kind of problem. Predicting the likelihood of two random events coinciding together is impossible unless you can also calculate the possibility of them NOT coinciding, and since we’re dealing with a mathematically open system, I don’t see how that’s possible.