Dr. Carrie Madej Involved In Plane Crash – Pray
(thewashingtonstandard.com)
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https://flightaware.com/live/flight/N14FC
Here's my guess, pilot error. I don't know how accurate the flightaware tracking is but based on the available data I'm guessing the pilot ran out of gas...
Panicked by the sputtering engine, after descending from cruise, contacted ATC while attempting to add power to climb (altitude = time) and when the engine stopped dead, scared, declared emergency and ATC diverted to closest "airport".
Judging by the high rate of decent similar to previous decent from cruise, and the high rate of speed (the best glide speed for that plane is 70-80mph, not 100+ as recorded). As well as there were 2 private grass airstrips (designated by R) right underneath. The pilot wasn't expecting the unexpected.
https://files.catbox.moe/ymlbll.jpg
Also if the DS wanted them dead, they would be.
Cheers!
Update: http://www.kathrynsreport.com/2022/06/piper-pa-24-250-comanche-n14fc-incident.html
Anonymous - Thursday, July 28, 2022 at 7:37:00 PM EDT O-540. Carb ice?
Anonymous - Tuesday, October 4, 2022 at 3:07:00 AM EDT Yep on that engine. No mention of checking the carb heat during descent...or even when the engine was first saying "good night". Maybe the knob fell off or the dog ate the checklist.
This is the Preliminary Report: https://data.ntsb.gov/carol-repgen/api/Aviation/ReportMain/GenerateNewestReport/105375/pdf
It can take years before they issue their final report. - https://aviation.stackexchange.com/questions/27667/why-does-it-take-months-sometimes-years-for-the-bea-and-ntsb-to-complete-aviat
"Carb ice" is ice that forms inside the carburetor due to certain conditions caused by the venturi effect of the carb (Bernoulli's principle) causing ice to form in certain conditions. The result is a restriction in fuel flow; ultimately a complete blockage of fuel to the engine. "Carb heat" is a mechanism that diverts heat from the engine to heat the carb and melt the ice or prevent it from forming. It is only used when there is a possibility for ice to form as the heat reduces the density of the air and causes reduced performance. It's similar to rudder use in "coordinated flight" in that some pilots never really learn how to use it because they don't have too. TLDR;
Florida pilot = No Ice experience.
Pilot error.