The probability is still less than 50% but has gone up markedly. Basement Boy lit the fuse and we can only pray that it goes out. IN his speech he both prodded and set up the right and he gave permission to the left. Compare this to the PDJT speech that allegedly caused the "insurrection". Seems The Great Sniffer was agitating for and advocating for insurrection and should be investigated by that criteria. But in the end, it won't matter who fires the first shot - once it goes, we're all in the shit.