Gather round. Gather round. One and all!
Think you're the smartest cookie around? Think you got what it takes to stand before every critic and call the play? Ready to flaunt that amazing predictive capacity?
Well now's your chance! Show us what you have!
The rules are simple:
- You must predict something that will occur within the relevant time period (in this case, October 2022).
- The prediction must be quantifiable and reasonably acceptable to others. Proof needs to be more than speculative in nature in most cases, but considered on a case-by-case basis.
If you make a shitty prediction that cannot be actually proven, no one will agree and laugh at you. This will frustrate you greatly. Please do not do this and make your predictions as clear as possible to avoid this. Use this thread to clarify if others have questions or concerns.
Finally, credit is ONLY given for correct predictions. We do not care how you do it. You can use snails and tarot cards or count your toes for all we care. All we're concerned with here is if you make the right call, because that's all that matters, right?
The goal here is not debate/argument. The point is simply to say "I called it here."
And most importantly, have a little fun with it! Sometimes a sense of humor is the best intuition.
My primary prediction, albeit divided, is that Ukraine will be accepted by NATO. Nations already considering joining NATO will protest and attempt to stay neutral. A minority of member nations will complain. Russia will beat the war drum and say "don't touch my new territory."
Pretty vanilla, but that's how I see it playing out. I don't expect a lot of major military movement this month. Mostly political nonsense.
I currently have zero predictions for any "Red October" kind of stuff. I expect to be blindsided if that happens. All I can expect is Dems doing Dem things to try and get the early voting in their favor before any bad news comes out. No real prediction otherwise there and it's kind of expected to be honest.