Bear with me, this is a bit of a wordy explanation but I don't know how else to explain it.
Once upon a time, I got the idea I could beat the marginal odds enjoyed by casino's at the roulette table and decided to test my theory using online betting sites.
Standard distribution tends to follow a bell curve, and it's at both extremes of that bell curve that I felt it was possible to manipulate the odds slightly in my favour.
A typical roulette wheel has thirty seven numbers, 1-36 and a zero. I mention the zero separately becaue that is the house advantage. The reason for this is that all the other numbers can be bet on in various ways.
Odd/Even, 1-12/ 13-24/ 14-36, Black/Red and three 'rows'. None of these methods include the zero, so every time zero comes up the house wins everything (if people bet on zero they have reduced their odds of winning massively down to 1 in 37 so they don't do it).
Obviously it's possible to string together a short run of wins for the punter, but over time, for the casino, that 1 in 37 advantage is what makes it profitable.
Now, in order to overcome this I decided to use a martinet system as a base. Simply put, this is where you start your first bet with 1, and if you lose you double down until you win, then you go back to betting 1 again.
This theory is totally impossible to win with because roulette frequently throws up runs of reds, or blacks, or evens etc. so that the doubling affect quickly hits house limits on bets and you lose a huge amount of money.
However, it is possible to pre-load the odds and limit the doubling by bailing out of a run once it hits a certain amount. Also, betting on the 1 in 3 odds sectors can eke the raising cost to a few more spins before hitting the limit.
Now, I tried various different levels before hitting on one that worked in theory and tried it out for real with real money. I made money for two weeks and then it wouldn't work again, ever. So I adapted my theory and tried again.
Once more it lasted two weeks and then failed. This happened six times in a row, forcing me to conclude that they had a smart system running on their casino that analysed bets and worked out any pattern you might be using, then interjected a losing bet at the critical point to ensure you lost. Not enough to form it's own pattern in isolation, but I detected it due to the pattern of its operation.
So what I did then (at this point I was down £3000) was to combine all 6 variations at once. This was a nightmare to track six differnt betting patterns simultaneously without losing track, but I managed with a few mistakes here and there.
Over the course of the next month I not only made back my £3000 I made £800 profit. At which point I invested the £800 in a new laptop and exercise bike and quit due to nervous exhaustion.
I tell you all this because my mind is starting to recognise that there are many plans in motion, not one. Each plan exists in its own right and is not dependent on the others if one should fail, the others pick up the slack.
Overall there is an inexorable progress towards victory, but when most people try to analyse 'the plan' they are overwhelmed by what appears to be chaos and things that don't seem related. Again, this is because there are multiple plans in motion.
It would take an advanced AI to analyse the patterns and pull out all the various plans that are consistent within themselves. I can only tell that this is happening because of the above experience and the way my mind 'feels' numbers etc.
If you made it this far, thanks for reading, and well done! ( and welcome to a glimpse into my mind that I rarely share).
I hate to say it, bud, but gambling is a disease. I'm glad you quit. Don't go back.
Also, our plan is a tad bit different... Sure, we have multiple fronts we are fighting on, but we can't lose even if we fail on each front. We have the literal trump card, and we will absolutely play it at the perfect moment.
Starfish Prime. Salvatore Pais.
10 days. Darnkess.
Enjoy the show.
They may have a trump card also, and they could have played it years ago or tomorrow.
I had a friend that was addicted to gambling. He would come home with wads of cash to show his wife how well he did. Then she got the credit card bills showing the casino charges which were much higher than the cash he brought home. They divorced.
It was over 10 years ago and it definitely taught me a lesson (or more than one).
The main one I learned that money is no substitute for health :)
I also did it for the challenge, money was just the score card, so once I beat the system I had nothing left to prove.
Thanks for the additional insight, sometimes it's too easy to focus on one element (even if that element covers multiple factors) and ignore the blatently obvious :)