Avoiding the injections was not a guess, and it had nothing to do with luck. For me it was based on two simple facts:

1. the survival rate for the virus was 99.8%, which is similar to the flu (and the same demographic of old, sick people were the ones dying).

2. the mRNA injections had never successfully passed any clinical trials - they failed spectacularly, were experimental, and only released under EUA.

The risk/reward for the injections was deep into negative territory. Avoiding it like the plague (hah) was the logical thing to do.