CIA does what they do best, try to instigate coup/civil war by bribing a mercenary leader 6.2 billion dollars
Prighozin plays along and acts like he took the bait but goes to Putin and tells him what the western spooks are up to
They come up with a plan to do a headfake and make it seem like the CIAs plan worked.
Spend several months setting up a kayfabe between Prighozin and Russian MOD over things like lack of ammo, not enough support and other petty things
The CIA thinks their plan to divide and conquer is working, they begin to coordinate with the Ukrainians to ramp up towards a counteroffensove wherein Wagner will backstab the Russians at the same time
Possible last attempt at a desperate hail Mary to end the war hinges on Prighozin cooperation
Prighozin plays along right up until the last minute when he instead does a surprise detente and goes into exile in Belarus, now a much richer man having taken the CIA's money
Ukrainians and NATO are sitting there looking real stupid now that their plan has completely backfired
Makes you think that the victory 9ver that city was allowed to give Wagner some moral over his troops. They give up the city, bribe him, and then he takes the money, the city, and they gain nothing. Art of the Fail
Excellent assessment, sounds very plausible to me!
Just missing one thing. Wagner Group and In country Russian Soldiers Take Kiev While Ukr troops are on Russian Border.
Makes you think that the victory 9ver that city was allowed to give Wagner some moral over his troops. They give up the city, bribe him, and then he takes the money, the city, and they gain nothing. Art of the Fail