NYT had a meter-type thing that would register how likely a candidate would win a given state. There was one for the general too. I had watched it in 2016. I think it worked by assessing the percentage of the vote in the various districts, etc. It was crazy accurate in 2016. In 2020 literally watched this thing go from 100% Trump won Georgia. It was stuck at 100% win for Trump for a long time. And then when the ballot dump came it went down, down down. How can you go from 100% chance of winning to less than that? Totally rigged.

But when people ask me what I think, I just say, "there's no way Biden got more of the black vote than Obama, but only in the swing states." That shuts people up pretty quick.