Because Ukraine's rapidly running out of army to fight with. Their great counteroffensive has been an replay of the Battle of the Bulge, but without the competent Nazi command or capable soldiers. They've been absolutely cut to pieces. 5 spearheads were launched. Only one remains active pushing towards Melitopol. It'll never get within sight of it. They've committed their reserves to the offensive. Russia's actively ripping them apart right now with artillery in the fields around Rabotino.
If you follow any of the war mappers or social-media based news channels, you'll find the evidence to confirm this assessment. It's open source but often in Russian which is a bit of a pain.
So when this guy says Ukraine's over, he's probably right. Of course there are variables. He could go full Hitler and hold out til the Russians are literally bombing his bunker. Putin's been very reluctant to go full grizzly with the Russian army, but Zelensky may make him. Ultimately, it's a similar situation to Japan 1945: how do you make a defeated enemy accept terms when he wants to fight to the death? Answer: you have to demonstrate the capability to deliver a LOT of death.
Because Ukraine's rapidly running out of army to fight with. Their great counteroffensive has been an replay of the Battle of the Bulge, but without the competent Nazi command or capable soldiers. They've been absolutely cut to pieces. 5 spearheads were launched. Only one remains active pushing towards Melitopol. It'll never get within sight of it. They've committed their reserves to the offensive. Russia's actively ripping them apart right now with artillery in the fields around Rabotino.
If you follow any of the war mappers or social-media based news channels, you'll find the evidence to confirm this assessment. It's open source but often in Russian which is a bit of a pain.
So when this guy says Ukraine's over, he's probably right. Of course there are variables. He could go full Hitler and hold out til the Russians are literally bombing his bunker. Putin's been very reluctant to go full grizzly with the Russian army, but Zelensky may make him. Ultimately, it's a similar situation to Japan 1945: how do you make a defeated enemy accept terms when he wants to fight to the death? Answer: you have to demonstrate the capability to deliver a LOT of death.