Last week, Patrick Byrne published a short video offering the first fact-based theory for Israel’s massive, inexplicable October 7th intelligence failure. And it’s a doozy. I’ve summarized it below if you don’t have time to watch the whole clip.
Between what Patrick said and what he didn’t say but strongly implied, the short version is that, following the summer battle over Israel’s leftist Supreme Court, Biden (i.e. Obama), U.S. intelligence agencies, and Israeli intelligence agencies undermined Israel — to get rid of Benjamin Netanyahu.
image 4.png CLIP: Patrick Byrne offers explanation for Israel’s intelligence failure (24:25).
In case you aren’t familiar with him, Patrick Byrne is a brilliant polyglot, former McKinsey consultant, entrepreneur, founder of Overstock.com, and now conservative influencer. He got involved in the Trump elections debacle, personally funding and supervising elections audits all over the country. Significantly for this story, he’s an experienced software developer and works with lots of Israeli software firms (Israeli is the current world headquarters of advanced software development).
Patrick claimed to have firsthand insider information from his Israeli contacts.
The gist of Patrick’s theory is that former Obama officials Dan Shapiro (Obama’s ambassador to Israel), Avril Haines (Obama deputy assistant), Anthony Blinken (Obama deputy assistant), and Michele Flournoy (Obama undersecretary of defense) began representing an Israeli cyber-security software developer called Paragon. Paragon develops top-secret security tools for Israeli’s defense industry.
After the former Obama officials got involved with Paragon, and continuing through the Biden regime, the U.S. has systematically targeted all of Paragon’s competitors using a variety of federal procurement tools and sanctions, forcing them either to close or sell off their assets to Paragon or the U.S. intelligence agencies.
At this point, Israel depends on one single security software provider, Paragon, a fact that the country’s intelligence agencies have warned is a critical security risk. And that one software provider is deeply connected to Barack Obama and Joe Biden. Paragon is also linked to former Israeli Prime Minister and sworn Netanyahu enemy Ehud Barak, who visited Epstein Island “on business” over 30 times, which means that he is almost certainly a blackmail pawn of the U.S. and Israeli deep states.
During the spring, Netanyahu led a conservative takeover of Israel’s government following a disastrous leftist cycle. One of the new conservative government’s first projects was to prune back a law allowing Israel’s Supreme Court to overturn any democratically-passed legislation that the Court felt was inconsistent with Israel’s values — a blank check. The reform — which was ultimately successful — was opposed by none less than the U.S. deep state and one Joseph Robinette Biden.
And, although officially denied, leaked documents showed the conservative reforms were also opposed by members of Israel’s own top security agency, Mossad:
image 5.png To pull the threads together, what I think Patrick is suggesting (without explicitly saying so) is that the U.S. deep state, working with the Israeli deep state, engineered October 7th. They did it to punish Netanyahu for the Supreme Court reforms, and to purge Israel’s new conservative government. The deepstate termites may have accomplished it by sabotaging Israel’s security software, on which the country is almost completely dependent.
Admittedly, it’s a bold, 9/11-level conspiracy theory, but so far it’s the only fact-based theory going.
💣 Soon it will be politically too late for Israel to invade Gaza on the ground, and an invasion is looking less and less likely, for three reasons. First, the U.S. is stepping up pressure on Israel to postpone the Gazan ground invasion, for the obvious rationale that I predicted. The New York Times made the case this morning at the top of the fold:
image.png It’s the hostages. On the Israeli side, the Times of Israel broke the bad news to the Israeli public:
image 2.png The longer the delay, the less likely politically possible it will be for Israel to invade Gaza at all. And if, at the end of the day, Israel does not invade Gaza after the October 7th attacks, Israel’s conservative government will undoubtedly fall, delighting U.S. and Israeli deep state color revolutionaries who failed to abolish Netanyahu with nationwide protests in the summer.
Remember the Chuck Schumer rule: they have seven ways from Sunday to get back at you.
Second, Israel’s internal leftist forces are starting to stretch and get ready to take advantage of the situation in the domestic politics arena. In other words, the period of unity is coming to a close. Israel’s papers this weekend were packed with swelling criticism of Netanyahu, neatly summarized in this Haaretz example:
image 3.png Prime Minister Netanyahu faces irresistible public pressure to start the invasion, but on the other hand, the United States — his most critical ally, needed to hold off opportunistic enemies while Israel fights with Hamas — is flat telling him not to do it. I would bet my next paycheck that when Biden flew around the globe for a one-hour face-to-face meeting last week it was to warn Bibi not to invade.
Third, Israel’s other enemies are lining up to invade Israel when Israel invades Gaza. All last week, pressure continued mounting along Israel’s northern border, as other regional enemies waited with barely-concealed glee for Israel to commit its forces to Gaza in the south. For example, Lebanon-based terrorist group Hezbollah spent last week steadily increasing rocket attacks from the north, while Iran and Israel traded threats.
At the same time, the U.S. continued adding naval assets, ground troops, and air defenses to the region to discourage Iran from taking advantage of the Gazan conflict. The New York Times’ article explained:
American officials also want more time to prepare for attacks on U.S. interests in the region from Iran-backed groups, which officials said are likely to intensify once Israel moves its forces fully into Gaza… American officials say they hope the ground invasion will be delayed. Officially, Israel will not explain the delay, not even to its own officers. Four senior Israeli defense officials told the Times they did not even know the reason for the repeated postponements. My guess is that’s because the delay is due to politics and not military strategy.
As Biden said in his national address last week, Israel is reaching an inflection point.
looks like Israel pearl harbor to me. you know they are coming but let it happen so you can have a good excuse and support for a bigger war.