I was looking at this graph of the Republican primary polls from the beginning of this year until now when a realization struck me:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-r/2024/national/
Trump's numbers go up at almost precisely the same points in time that DeSantis' numbers go down, and by almost the same percentages. Has DeSantis' self-immolating campaign actually made Trump's popularity increase?
Simple. It was Trump voters who went to Ron, thinking Trump could go to jail and we needed a different conversation to win.
As Trump wins his cases and Ron continues to dance with the neocons Bush and Rove, they leave and go back to Trump.
This is the difference between Republicans and Democrats. Republicans will cut bait and run at the first sign of trouble. The Democrats will stick to the P.O.S. they support to the bitter end.