Trying to make sense of the math...
Suppose 100 people out of 10,000 (1%) of a certain demographic (i.e. middle age men) died in 2021. This is saying that, in 2022, 107 would die if all had one Schwab Shot, and 135 deaths (1.35%) if they all had 5 shots?
But that is only one year, so the commenter is extrapolating that rate to every subsequent year, which is not supported... yet. While a pureblood cohort would expect to have 5,000 still alive at 80 years old, due to the (generally increasing) death rate, a cohort of sheep would be halved by age 55 due to the accelerated death rate.
Do I understand that correctly?
For those curious,
e^(-0.014x50) = 50%
Pureblood 30yo, living for 50 years, with annual mortality of 1.4%.
e^(-0.0189x35) = 52%
5 shots (1.4 * 1.35 = 1.89), living to 55yo.
Pure blood living for 59 more years if he is 30 today so to 80. Baseline life expectancy scamdemic.
5-shot living to 55 at the oldest
The 35% increase in mortality can/should be look at like the 100 year storm.
With 5-shots you are 35% more likely to die this year than had you not complied. If you don't die, you're still 35% more likely to die next year than had you not complied. The bass is baggage that you carry with you the rest of your shortened life. The 25% reduction is probably the modal center of the increased death calculations, hence the 55 at the oldest. Some, not most will live past 55 and your insurance rates will reflect this.
Trying to make sense of the math...
Suppose 100 people out of 10,000 (1%) of a certain demographic (i.e. middle age men) died in 2021. This is saying that, in 2022, 107 would die if all had one Schwab Shot, and 135 deaths (1.35%) if they all had 5 shots?
But that is only one year, so the commenter is extrapolating that rate to every subsequent year, which is not supported... yet. While a pureblood cohort would expect to have 5,000 still alive at 80 years old, due to the (generally increasing) death rate, a cohort of sheep would be halved by age 55 due to the accelerated death rate.
Do I understand that correctly?
For those curious,
e^(-0.014x50) = 50%
Pureblood 30yo, living for 50 years, with annual mortality of 1.4%.
e^(-0.0189x35) = 52%
5 shots (1.4 * 1.35 = 1.89), living to 55yo.
clarification
Pure blood living for 59 more years if he is 30 today so to 80. Baseline life expectancy scamdemic.
5-shot living to 55 at the oldest
The 35% increase in mortality can/should be look at like the 100 year storm. With 5-shots you are 35% more likely to die this year than had you not complied. If you don't die, you're still 35% more likely to die next year than had you not complied. The bass is baggage that you carry with you the rest of your shortened life. The 25% reduction is probably the modal center of the increased death calculations, hence the 55 at the oldest. Some, not most will live past 55 and your insurance rates will reflect this.