Trend line showing average voting intention before the elections:
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Reform UK - gaining over the time with recent polls showing 17% heading to 20%
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Labor - losing over time with the chart showing 39% as a last figure.
Today, the election day, exit poll:
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Reform UK - 13 seats of 650 = less than 2%
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Labor - 410 seats out of 650 = 63%
These are not final results, just exit polls, but it looks shocking!
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-68079726
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Then on the Live” page they say:
Labour is expected to win 410 seats, with the Conservatives on 131
and the video on the same page says (and the speaker reads it clear):
Keir Starker will become a Prime Minister with a majority of around 170 seats
How 170 is majority?
You're measuring 2 different things, Percentage of popular vote vs number of seats.
The UK has a First Pass the Post system and most area would have previously the 3 main parties, now with reform most seats are been fought between 4 parties.
The first pass the post system, means that a seat can be split by the following percentage:
35 - Labour
20 - Reform
19 - Tories
14 - Libs
8 - greens
4 - independent
Here Labour win the seat.
The good news is that popular vote is used to provide funding, so Reform who currently only 3 years old, will be have funds to build a base and have air time on MSN etc.
I don’t get what you’re saying: If the BBC shows that Reform UK has 13 seats out of 650 - it’s 2% of all seats. How did you get 20%?
Number were examples, here the results from the 1st called seat:
Sunderland South Results:
LAB: 18,847 (47%)
REF: 11,668 (29%)
CON: 5,514 (14%)
LDM: 2,290 (6%)
GRN: 1,723 (4%)
The system in the UK means that you need to win to get a seat, coming 2nd gets doesn't get a MP in the House
There are 650 seats or area across the UK, traditionally seats are fought between 2 of the 3 major parties.
In Ireland we have proportional representation, this means that after every count, the lowest candidate is eliminated, their votes are then distributed.
People vote by preferences, 1, 2 3 etc. first choice counts first, then if that guy gets in excess votes go to choice number 2.
So if the conservative guy is eliminated, the vote’s highly likely go to Reform. The lib votes would go to labour (commie / socialist / thieves).
In this example the commie still wins, but it is a fairer representation of public opinion.
The system they use in the UK is fundamentally corrupt. But it suits the main two parties, who are simply the public facing elements of the civil service.