Just a small niggle, but, if an event is 4000% more likely than normal, it means the likelihood has increased by a factor of 41 times (not 4000 times). A 4000% increase translates to 41 times the original risk. Therefore, it is not accurate to say it is 4000 times the risk.
Math Explanation:
Baseline Likelihood: Assume the original likelihood of the event is x.
Increased Likelihood: A 4000% increase means the new likelihood is x + 40x = 41x.
Therefore, if an event is 4000% more likely, it translates to being 41 times the original risk, not 4000 times.
Just a small niggle, but, if an event is 4000% more likely than normal, it means the likelihood has increased by a factor of 41 times (not 4000 times). A 4000% increase translates to 41 times the original risk. Therefore, it is not accurate to say it is 4000 times the risk.
Math Explanation:
Baseline Likelihood: Assume the original likelihood of the event is
x
.Increased Likelihood: A 4000% increase means the new likelihood is
x + 40x = 41x
.Therefore, if an event is 4000% more likely, it translates to being 41 times the original risk, not 4000 times.
I'll try to remember that. Math is NOT my best subject.
It was my worst, too! 🐸