The real reason why Pelosi refused POTUS's offer of 20K NG, needed the appearance of an "insurrection" so that Pelosi could invoke a little known "Emergency House Rule" and she would not have been able to invoke this rule with the Capital being surrounded and guarded by the NG
(theconservativetreehouse.com)
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This was a pretty good explanation. Let me add more why. Through a process of challenges and votes, Trump was going to win on J6. A challenge from a house member and senate member for a state would lead to discussion and a vote. A special vote. Where each state gets just one vote. The members of that state decide on how to vote that state. The Republicans controlled more states.
The Trump team telegraphed the plan and the trap was laid. The democrats were behind the whole J6 events. Some unwitting Republicans were caught up in an invited peaceful tour.