Normally I would say you are right. But Trump is already at 25% and climbing. Even the women are going Trump and they are the hardest get. Several black influencers are also moving the needle. All the money being given to the illegals is looking like the last straw for black women.
Trump is chewing up the democrat base. I believe Trump will get over 50% of both the black vote and the Hispanic vote. Trump is making big inroads with the youth vote. Safety and bringing down the cost of living is going to give Trump the suburban women vote.
No tax on tips, no tax on social security and now, no tax on overtime are going to bring in key demographics.
Trump is up double digits with independents and has his base locked up.
Ah, but those that have woken up are waking others up. The tipping point is when 2 woke people wake another, etc. One on one is hard. Two or more on one is much easier. Enough are now awake that it is getting easier. It’s picking up speed.
Trump is going to exceed 50% of all the registered voters in the country by a wide margin. The only real cheat they have is to flip the votes and provide all the paper ballots to back it up. Tens of millions. I believe the WHs are ready for this and other cheating.