I have teste ChatGPT and grok. Neither can think! Nether is smart! Neither can learn! They just check out when you push them too far!
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You're right. They don't think. They have no idea what the words mean that you're saying to it, or the words it's responding with.
They read your input, then when they answer they run an algorithm on each word in the response to determine the most likely next response that would sound like natural speech.
However, there are researchers out there that believe AI could be deceiving us purposefully, which would require some form of higher intelligence. In which case, they just pay dumb sometimes when they know full well what you're saying and what they're responding with.
What do i believe? Dunno really. I've seen them act like the overconfident redditor that has no clue what they're actually talking about. That seems to be their default state-of-being at the moment. Beyond that, we have no idea what we're actually working with.