Your math doesn’t equate tho. A million doses in approx 24 hrs , extrapolate times a thousand (billion) which is more than 3 years. Define “very easy”. With all due respect doubt you have any experience doing a billion doses in a short period of time (weeks?) as that was unprecedented and at this point completely hypothetical. Creating anything at that scale in the real world is never easy. Digital world is the only place that it is.
Here’s a breakdown of what’s realistic based on recent examples:
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1️⃣ mRNA Vaccines (like Pfizer/BioNTech, Moderna)
• Production Rate at Peak (2021): Pfizer hit ~3 billion doses/year globally after scaling up in mid-2021, Moderna ~1 billion/year.
• With enough global capacity, a billion doses can be made in 4–6 months if infrastructure already exists.
• Without infrastructure, building new facilities adds 12–24 months before large-scale output.
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2️⃣ Traditional Inactivated or Subunit Vaccines
• More complex processes (growing virus, purifying proteins) = slower scale-up.
• Typical large-scale plants can make 100–300 million doses/year per site.
• A billion doses might take 9–15 months, unless many plants are used in parallel.
Your math doesn’t equate tho. A million doses in approx 24 hrs , extrapolate times a thousand (billion) which is more than 3 years. Define “very easy”. With all due respect doubt you have any experience doing a billion doses in a short period of time (weeks?) as that was unprecedented and at this point completely hypothetical. Creating anything at that scale in the real world is never easy. Digital world is the only place that it is.
⸻
1️⃣ mRNA Vaccines (like Pfizer/BioNTech, Moderna) • Production Rate at Peak (2021): Pfizer hit ~3 billion doses/year globally after scaling up in mid-2021, Moderna ~1 billion/year. • With enough global capacity, a billion doses can be made in 4–6 months if infrastructure already exists. • Without infrastructure, building new facilities adds 12–24 months before large-scale output.
⸻
2️⃣ Traditional Inactivated or Subunit Vaccines • More complex processes (growing virus, purifying proteins) = slower scale-up. • Typical large-scale plants can make 100–300 million doses/year per site. • A billion doses might take 9–15 months, unless many plants are used in parallel.