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37
HackerNews: "Is the iPhone birth control? Causal evidence from AT&T's 2007-2011 monopoly [pdf]" (www.nber.org)
posted 11 days ago by 5DchessWatch 11 days ago by 5DchessWatch +37 / -0
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– 5DchessWatch [S] 9 points 11 days ago +9 / -0

If you skip to conclusion they show with a statistical poisson distribution that the iphone had an exclusive with AT&T initially in 2008 and coincided with a stark decline in births, as compared to their controls which were verizon and other carriers that didn't have iphone. They said that this could be becuase of basically doomscrolling and easier access to porn, that caused people to change their habits of dating and fucking. Even tho of course, dating apps exploded, they didn't result in births. This could be a correlation / causation thing, but the assumption was nothing else was going on at that time, which is not true. It was an election year, obama voted in twice, because a mass surveillance tyrant nearly equivalent to a modern day lord hawthorne from the origin ultima series. None of you will get that reference (I'm old). There was also the start of the subprime mortgage default crisis starting in 2008, which belied many defective problems in our society.

I was hoping this study was going to say there was an electromagnetic / brain damage from 3G type of thing, but it had nothing to do with that at all.

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– KnockKnockItsJinx26 2 points 11 days ago +2 / -0

All cell phones cause less sex between couples. Duh. Taking care of your partner requires so much more energy than scrolling endlessly.

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– TechGeek 2 points 11 days ago +2 / -0

Nope. This is a classic case of correlation does not equal causation. The rollout of the iPhone was done city by city, and was initially only available in large blue dumocrap cities (NY, LA, etc.)

In short, blue cities and their dumocrap policies were responsible for the declining birthrate. The iPhone rollout was just coincidental, and not the cause.

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– FiatLux 1 point 11 days ago +1 / -0

Good theory. Both could be cofactors in reality. Lib values coupled with doomscrolling

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