It's a $30 stock based on earnings

It's a $30,000 stock based on it's over shorted position

All of my reddit accounts that had access to /r/wsb have been perma banned (surprise surprise) so the only places I can inject these analysis are here and /biz/

If you appreciate them, them consider yourself the blessed few. But of course, you're here so that was already true :)

Spread the word, sleep easy, and have the right knowledge in your in person conversations.

Don't worry, you didn't buy those shares to make a quick buck selling off with some measly 20% rise in value. You aren't chasing a bubble and lamenting missing the top. This isn't a normal position. You're holding for a squeeze - everything in between where you bought and the upcoming $10k/share squeeze is just noise. Ignore it, don't let meaningless fluctuations that change nothing about your original reasoning for buying in affect your mood.

Hedgefunds are going mad trying to not lose this game. All you have to do to win is forget all about it and go eat a sandwich!

Not really.

Even the laddering where the same thousand shares are bought and sold back and forth to and from the exposed hedgies thousands of times, it's really not much.

Not when they have 50 million shares they need to cover. You are looking for, and fearing, that they will cover their positions. But you need to understand that the hedgefunds have zero intention of ever covering. Not at $100 (even that bankrupts the fund) and not even at $10. They don't lose their house if the fund crashes, just their job and they'll get another in a heart beat. There's zero downside to gambling with other people's money, and that's exactly the kind of person these positions attract.

I wish I knew how better to assuage you all.

My goodness no. Not over at all! I'm afraid people look at the stock price like it's the scoreboard in a game. But it's so wrong. Hedgefunds are getting their asses kicked right now, and nothing they are doing is really working - it's not prompting the sell off and abandonment of the stock. The scoreboard is their financial reserves and the float, which is still exactly where it was at the start. These hedgefunds don't have any intention of ever covering their shorts. They'll lose with that strat, but they don't know any other way. It's a shutout right now, no one on their side looks like they'll walk away from this.

Some of that has occurred. Lots of shady shit.

But Americans who were cheated and had their shares sold ... had them bought by others. Hedgies aren't buying shares to cover their positions, they literally can't afford it, that's their problem. Anything beyond what the hedgies need to operate their ladder attacks are all being bought by retail and others who have value bought those shares knowing that the squeeze is inescapable.

Bad for individuals who have been screwed, but hasn't affected the overall situation. Hedgies are as doomed now as ever.

back and forth and back and forth and back and forth

hedgie to hedgie

(with a few value snipes along the way)

You haven't lost money until you sell. That's more profound than it sounds though.

If you invested for the squeeze, and you still believe it's going to squeeze, because they still are over 100% float, and they still can't buy to cover their position, then it doesn't matter what the price is, because nothing has changed.

$200?

$100?

$69?

Doesn't matter, all your underlying reasons remain the same.

Here, let's do an example:

Imagine you're Nancy Pelosi and you've just learned that Biden is going to make the whole Federal Government's automobile fleet electric. Shit, Tesla is going to go WAY up once the public learns this! Buy Buy Buy!

So you buy. A lot.

Then Tesla's price dips. Oh no! But you're not worried, because the condition you bought for, the public release, hasn't come out yet. You're down 10%, 20%, 30%!! But you don't care. Nothing about why you bought has changed.

Then the release comes out and the stock rebounds. Tesla gets contracts and it goes higher. Just like you knew it would. Everything that happened in the middle was completely irrelevant.

In this case, only when you buy

If your eye is on anything but GME and AMC right now, you're nuts for two reasons

1: GME and (AMC) need to be held until the hedgies go tits up. Patience, they will. Ignore the "stock price", I won't go deeper on that here

2: Market cap. The amount of money you need to throw at fucking silver is much higher than a comparatively small business like Gamestop. Now, after fortunes are made we can talk about silver, but for now it's a less certain target.

Patience people, patience.

He can enlist in a local militia instead.

Weekends. Like the National Guard only not a slave to your leftist governor or a DC Nancy Pelosi

Yes you absolutely should. Never invest more than you can afford to lose of course. But 100% yes.

It's important to note that the current price of a stock does not reflect the value of EVERY stock, just those currently being traded. The volume of trades is low, no one is selling, EVERYONE is holding. In fact, the only real moves in the market were ladder attacks, just like every day last week where the hedgies put up a few shares for less than the current price, bought by other hedgies, than sold back and forth for lower an lower amounts back and forth to one another.

This drives the apparent price down, and no shares really change hands. That is, unless people compete to buy those shares at those lower costs. Which they did, and you should too. If people weren't sniping hedgie ladders then the price would hit $20 in a day. But it can barely dip below $200. It's just too much of a steal they can't dip it any more. IF you don't snipe these artificially depressed shares, others will. If I had the money I would, but I already did. It's such a good deal many people have sold other stocks to provide liquidity to keep sniping. I've considered liquidating some of my crypto in the middle of a crypto bull market to do so, we'll see.

Eventually, the hedgies have to close their positions (don't believe the accounting shennanigans, they haven't closed from 140% down to 60% or whatever they are saying, it's accounting tricks.) In the end, that $200 price only reflects the value of shares participating in ladders. It's a tiny fraction of a single percent of total shares, that aren't participating in that market, because they are holding to participate in the squeeze. And THAT market is worth far more considering that last Thursday that market held and refused to sell at $500, in fact their refusal to sell pushed the price up as high as $5k.

So yes, if your goal is to participate in the squeeze, buy those dips. Put a buy limit up for market open tomorrow (not a market buy, as a sudden spike may mean the price you get isn't a dip), or wait for more laddering post morning spike and do a market buy in either 10-11 or late afternoon, as these seem to be good dip buying times.

We're going to be laughing at these low volume ladders the next several days as they try desperately to flip the market before they go insolvent. The desperate tricks they are playing to achieve that by the way are monumental. Be sure anything you buy doesn't have a stop loss - if you place a order on your shares to sell at say, $100 to save you incase the 'bubble bursts' to protect you from losing it all, spoiler, you WILL lose it all. Part of the reason ladder attacks exist are to fish out and trigger stop losses and margins. Your stop loss positions are aggregated and sold to the brokers, so they know what they need to hit to trigger your automatic sales. (welcome to the rigged game. They know your position, you don't get to know theirs)

Also, this isn't a speculative bubble, it's a squeeze, it isn't going to pop the way a bubble does because the squeeze hasn't squoze yet and when it DOES it will take days before the back end on the way down ever drops below even the highs we've been seeing.

*this is not financial advice, I was suppose to get a lobotomy but due to a clerical error I received two.

I write critiques of communism on the side and have a dearth of unpublished Star Trek fanfiction. You'd love my my Ferengi episodes.

But the greatest verse you'll ever read will be your grandchild's history assignment on the market crash of the 20's that changed the world - uncertainty spinning in you head over whether it means the one for worse or the one for the better.

This century won't repeat the last, but it will rhyme.

I understand the risk you're seeing, but there's two things to counter that:

1. Every day irrational retail actors gobble up more and more of the share. One of the fears of the anyone (we'll include brokers in this as well) straight dumping is that we just absorb those shares and gain further control. What they have seen is that a person who'll buy 2 shares at $300 is literally buying 3 at $200 - Both appear equivalently undervalued to the people buying. They don't stop buying, or buy less $$ worth when price drops, they just see it as a bargain.

2) The broker's business models relies on them holding these stocks. To not hold them would be even more irresponsible than what the shorters have done. To understand that, you need to understand options.

Lots of people last week bought the "option" to buy GME at prices above what it was currently at (I don't know, let's say $80 because I don't want to fucking check the exact numbers)

Now how much would you sell an option to buy a stock at 110% it's existing price? A sizeable amount to be sure. But what about 4 times it's existing value? You're effectively betting that the stock will quadruple in a week. You see that for peanuts right? Obviously. Well a lot of people had calls in that were for $320 or lower. So as the price begins to rise, and it becomes more likely that the price will end above what the strike price is, you as the broker start to get a little nervous. The broker model for this scenario is to quietly buy up more and more stock as the likelihood that you'll be called rises. This demand for stock from the brokers combined with regular upward pressure forcing the broker's hands is called the gamma squeeze, incidentally, and can be an impetus to pump prices too high for shorters to maintain, FORCING them to capitulate, which is the big squeeze. But that's not what this is really about.

We closed this week above $320 despite every dirty trick in their book and while many of those options are simply being sold and settled for cash, a ton aren't. They are being exercised. The guy who paid a small premium to buy an option at $320 is saying "bitch, here's the $320 x 100, gimme my 100 GME stocks you owe me". Even assuming the Broker already has those stocks because they followed the model and incrementally bought them as the price of the stock rose, as of Friday, they are tapped. the fuck. out. Because remember, while $320 was a big price point, plenty bought options at $250, $200, and much much lower. "Bitch here's my $10,000, better have my 100 GME stocks"

Next week will be another round of calls expiring, and the Brokers will have to replenish their GME position - they hold those stocks to leverage the options they sell. Not only are they never in a position to sell them the way you fear, they don't even have them in the same numbers if at all anymore TO sell the way you fear. This week they'll likely have to buy more up. And these are just the weekly option. Monthlies are every third Friday of the month, we're three weeks away from the February monthly, and I can tell you $300 was not on anyone's minds for that either, so Brokers have to buy up to cover those now too.

They are scared for a fucking reason

* this is not financial advise, I'm illiterate and dictate my words to a small immigrant child who types them in return for fruit loops and head pats.

The underlying value of GME doesn't support the current share price

I want to expand on this.

The DIVIDEND that a share of GME is likely to pay out is proportionally less that other options, making the existing price irrational to hold in lieu of others

But the leveraged position of Hedgefunds and Brokers makes the share price UNDERVALUED. This stock is worth thousands, because the position it can pay out is near infinite and the chance of it merely paying out tens of thousands is sufficiently high to make it easily worth the risk at ten times the price.

The price of the stock TRIED to correct to reflect the value of it's position, but was hampered by market manipulation and interference. The hedgies did ladder attacks after market when the people couldn't trade (but they could) to give the illusion of it falling, but people countered by buying up at open. Then the money makers changed the rules for places like Robinhood, requiring them to put up 100% (rather than 2% like normal) of the cash value of every trade, for these few stocks, until the money maker's book on those trades settled (every trade usually takes a few days to sort out in practice, even though it's mostly instant for you.)

The effect of that was that they had to limit buying, which meant that Hedgies felt they could safely perform ladder attacks in the open during market hours. They partially succeeded because they reversed a soaring price that hit $480 in just an hour after opening, into a sub $200 dive in the next hour or two. Since the market was open during this attack they were able to trigger a number of stops and crash out positions on margin. And they would have gotten away with it, except the market knew these prices were a bucking bargain.

People outside the US who could still buy on their platforms rallied and gobbled up all they could at these prices, as well as US customers after they frantically moved and set up accounts on platforms they found that could still buy. The market is trying to correct up, and they are trying everything in the book, legal or not, to stop it from rising UP to a price which better reflects it risk/return ratio. Even $300 is a steal compared to whatever that is.

In your ignorance you think "physical thing make thing" and therefore if you can't hold it it can't be used to make something.

Imagine I created a box that made it so that your bank could never lie, never cheat you, could never collude with a government, never seize your assets, and you never had to trust them because the physical box you held made that impossible? Would the "materials" to make that revolutionary box you buy at Walmart have intrinsic value? Yes, of course.

That box is a cleverly designed block chain. It is made from a material called crypto currency. Such as Bitcoin.

Imagine a talisman that did the same thing but for contracts, every contract you sign from employers, to insurance companies. Imagine your health insurer being prevented from dragging their heels, or prevented from ignoring your coverage and forcing you to sue because you held the talisman. Would that physical talisman have value, would the materials it is built from have value?

That talisman is the Etherium protocol, the material is ether

Imagine a McGuggin where the data those contracts rely on couldn't be cheated. The insurance agency couldn't cheat your test results, a shipping agency couldn't cheat their delivery date, simply by holding that physical McGuggin? And would the materials that McGuggin is made of have value?

That McGuggin is the Chainlink protocol, the material is link

Imagine a shiny sphere of power that queried all of these block chains for the data with revolutionary speed, doing for queries what google did for the internet. That you could find anything, as fast as possible, with unerring accuracy with zero ability to be misled, to have data hidden or 'canceled'. All by holding one of these shiny spheres of power you buy in a store, manufactured in china, with a physical material called 'hypotheticaleum' mined in the far off land of Rand McNally, would hypotheticaleum hold value?

That Sphere is the Graph protocol, the material hypotheticaleum is GRT the Graph coin.

Imagine a widget that allows you tor exchange each of these distinct coins, these materials, on a market, like you would gold and silver and gourd futures, without having to worry about market manipulation because there was a commission free widget, that made lying and cheating and halting impossible. all because you hold that widget.

That widget is the Uniswap protocol, it is manufactured with the Uni coin.

Imagine being able to anonymize your positions so no one could ever know what you owned, what you traded in and when, you could never be canceled because no one could ever look at your bank records. Never leaked that you donated to this candidate, or shop at that business. All because you bought a ring of power. Would that ring of power hold value, what of the special materials it is forged from?

That ring is Monero, it's made from the same.

Cryptocurrency is not fiat. Cryptocurrency is the material you dig out of the ground to build and power the blockchains that the future economy is built on. Wall street was built of stone and marble, brass, and gold and oil and silicon. The next wall street is built on silicon and ether, link and graph, uniswap, cardano, monero, a dozen others, and yes, bitcoin.

Shorts don't expire, they pay interest. And they don't have 4 months, they likely don't even have 4 days.

Right now it's about 30% APY. That's the current stock price of GME (~$300) x 115% the number of float shares (~50million) / 365 per day. (numbers approximate and rounded because math hard)

That's over 40 million in interest per day. Never mind that their positions are so below water they are walking dead. They have dug their graves so deep their only play is literally to keep digging and hope they come out in china. That $3 billion injection that Melvin got from Citadel covers their interest for 75 days at that burn rate, ignoring all their other existing overhead. But that assumes the price stays at $300. If it hits $1,000 they run out of time before March. $2,000 and "Valentines day Massacre" will have a new meaning. It's why they are desperate to run FUD (fear, uncertainty, doubt) articles in press. It's why they are literally committing crimes behind the scenes to drive down and halt further raises. It's why the >$320 closing price leaving tons of options in the money scared the shit out of them. All those in the money options exercising exhausts the brokerage stocks they hold in leverage. That means they have to buy more next week to cover the next round of expiring options if the price continues to rise. There are no new stocks at $300 to buy, shit is about to go parabolic unless they do something, anything!

3 billion only bought the zombie time. To repay their responsibilities at $300 would cost 15 billion. But before Robinhood and others removed the ability to buy new shares 3 days ago, there were multiple documented partial sales as high as $5,400. At that price it would cost 270 billion to repay their responsibilities. At that price interest exhausts their $3billion on Thursday. And that assumes that was the high. It's not.

They are sitting on TRILLIONS in duties and the most they could scrounge up were a few weeks (days) of life support. If they fold, the brokerages must pay out, if they fold the banks must. There is no escape.

They are going to ride their position into the dirt because it's the only play they have. They have to hope they stay solvent longer than you stay (classically) irrational. But all anyone has to do to break them is LITERALLY nothing. More new money comes in to buy rather than sell every day. And every time a "rational" actor sells, it is bought by another "irrational" one who simply likes the stock. The noose doesn't just tighten with every dollar of smart money leaving to be replaced by crayon eating autists, no, the trap door has already been released and the body is already in freefall. You can add more length to the rope, but there's no ground below you and you can't fall forever. There's no slipping the knot, your hands are tied. The story is written, the ending is a few pages beyond. Putting down the book doesn't change how this ends, it doesn't matter if you keep reading or not.

* this is not financial advice, I'm a deplorable dirty poor that lives in a basement and I have not showered yet today

Hold and Citadel (brokerage) falls. Citadel is fucking evil and has it's hands in like, half the fucking wall street pie. They wanted a great reset where we'll own nothing and be happy (if we don't own anything, who DOES own it then hmm??)

Fuck that

We're going to give them a reset where THEY own nothing and (we'll) be happy. We've altered the deal, and they should pray we don't alter it any further.

"We are scared, please stop"

All these fucking articles, all of them. Solidarity ruins them, but if they can get a few defectors scared with FUD (fear, uncertainty, doom) then they hope to get a slide that will become a self fulfilling prophecy and they'll be able to fulfill their financial responsibilities. You've seen this before, and you shouldn't trust this garbage now more than ever. Zero Hedge isn't your friend in this just because they've been your friend in other matters.

People like this stock, people aren't selling this stock. And there are very few compelling reasons for you to sell either. Those few reasons evaporate the deeper you understand the historic nature of this event.

It could be a trend of:

• the population of actual politicians rising

• the population of tracked politicians rising

• the population of reported politician deaths rising

• the mean age of politicians rising

• the number of assassinated politicians rising

Or a combination of them all. Truth is arrived by falsifying all alternatives until you're left with only one explanation that fits. It's not enough for an explanation to match the data. That is called a hypothesis.

FACT - If you met that man in a Wendys and started up a conversation you wouldn't want him having any influence over a birthday party let alone the execution of law.

We got another 35y/o boomer here, fucking disgusting

Replacing centralized fiat with centralized metal isn't the solution. The centralized part is and always has been the issue. You don't think metals aren't manipulated??

Do you know what happens if you go to a gold standard and then the first asteroid miner in 20 years ropes more gold than was ever mined in the history of man??

Metals can't be held in trustless smart contracts, the future of business and accounting is crypto. How many years have you wasted with people like me trying to teach you this lesson??

As long as electricity is on, crypto is better than physical assets. I'm not accepting your stupid shiny metal for shit.

"but this coin is worthy 40 dollars, promise!"

Yeah well I can't pay my buddy across town with it, or some dude the next state over with it unless I physically meet up with them. Fuck that bullshit. You're living in the future old man, get with tomorrow instead of forcing your yesterday on a world that has moved passed that.

How many years have you wasted with people like me trying to teach you this lesson??

It would seem they are borrowing from brokerages, for egregious interest, who themselves must leverage against this lending... and I reach the limit of my understanding of these behind the scenes financial shenanigans.

But it turns out if you hold GME, unless you specify not to, your GME can be 'lent' to someone else. You of course don't receive any money for this but you're just a little guy, big fish gotta squeeze every dollar they can in the race towards your bottom.