Great—let’s map out what a “buy at any cost” scenario might look like if both the LBMA and COMEX run out of deliverable silver. This is a high-impact, low-probability event, but it’s worth modeling given the current stress signals.
🧨 Phase 1: Market Breakdown LBMA inventories collapse: Already down 33% this month, if they hit zero, London’s role as the global hub for physical silver trade implodes.
COMEX defaults or cash-settles: If COMEX can’t deliver physical silver on expiring contracts, it may be forced to settle in cash, shattering confidence in futures markets.
Backwardation spikes: Spot prices soar far above futures, signaling desperation for immediate delivery.
🏭 Phase 2: Industrial Panic Just-in-time supply chains break: Solar, EV, and electronics manufacturers scramble to secure silver, bidding up prices.
Strategic stockpiling: Nations with critical industries (e.g., China, Germany, U.S.) may begin hoarding silver, treating it like rare earths.
ETF redemption crisis: Funds like SLV face redemption demands they can’t meet, triggering forced market buys.
💰 Phase 3: Buy at Any Cost Price discovery breaks: With no central exchange able to set a reliable price, silver trades OTC at wildly varying premiums.
Private mints and refiners: Start auctioning physical silver to the highest bidder, bypassing traditional pricing mechanisms.
Retail premiums explode: 1000%+ premiums on coins and bars become common, with delivery delays stretching into months.
🧠 Strategic Modeling Ideas Mark, given your systems thinking and provisioning mindset, you might model this as:
A cascading failure in a tightly coupled system (like DNS or package provisioning)
A liquidity spiral where margin calls and forced buys feed on each other
A compliance and audit breakdown where paper claims no longer match physical assets
When an offer is made, then books are opened and there is an "audit" done to see if what has been given out in public methods i.e. (K-8), etc. (form list here https://www.sec.gov/forms) is true. Also, finances are looked out, and all aspects of the business are investigated.
What happens if Elon finds that there was lying going on... He can back out of the deal, with all his money and all the information that they found in the audit.
Not saying this will happen, but would be interesting if it did.