LLinwWood Echoed it
(media.greatawakening.win)
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Why is it specifically 50% chance it was recorded and not 5% or 95%?
Or do you determine chances like this or that, both 50/50 ?
Because when you have two options, 1. It happened, or 2. It didn't happen... and you DON'T KNOW then you allocate and equal chance to both. Anything other than this is CONJECTURE unless you have actual KNOWLEDGE about the situation.
No, it does not work that way, it can be 1/99 or whatever. You do not know, but you also assign probabilities to the events.
I do not know if somebody died today on the street next to my house. That does not mean somebody dieying there is 50/50 chance. I give it 0,0001% chance for that happened and 99.999 for not happened.
I do not know if Trump had Fanta drink over dinner tonight. Does not mean it is 50/50 he had fanta.
It pains me that I even have explain such basics.
Well done you've successfully made a strawman argument. This isn't about the possible assortment of practically unlimited beverage choices. Think critically. Arguing semantics is pointless. Who cares if it's 50/50 or 10/90... Q provided enough information to suggest it's far more than 0.000001% or whatever strawman argument you want to make.
That was just random number example to prove the point that statement "if yo udo not know, then it is 50/50" is false.
No strawman, this is very basic fact understandable by (almost, it seems) everybody.
Reminded me of a joke - I bought loterry ticket, it is 50/50 eiteer I win, or not :D