I just watched the Trump speech and I didn't get the impression he was defeated in any way.

There were some comments made that could put people off their stride (about keeping the wall etc) but earlier on he already said he was sure that wouldn't happen (we know why).

That warning about the 25th was also a clue, so I can't see where the dooming is coming from unless you watched the speech looking for defeat. I watched the speech looking for clues and never got the impression that he was done, at all, or even remotely.

I now suspect that there will be a truth drop on the 17th and then will appear to concede, and then wait perhaps until the 20th/21st to spring the rest of the trap.