He was guaranteed to win when the prosecution submitted evidence that George Floyds blood oxygen level was at 98%. Which puts to rest any airway constraint asphyxiation theory and utterly exonerates Chauvin immediately.

But as we have seen, that guarantee was sadly not worth much with courts being so corrupt. Like with voting, you cant just shrug off one corrupt election or verdict hoping for another one 2 or 4 years later that isnt as bad.