Right, the postwar population boom happened later in much of the world, but it's the same basic explanation for the projected rise in annual deaths. The number of deaths in this decade is mainly a function of what was happening 7 decades before.
I work in long term care - average claim for males is age 83 and for females it is age 86. The average claim runs between 3-4 years. They fall into three groups. First group is less than one year. Second is that 3-4 year number. The balance are the long claims that tick up towards 10 years - mainly dementia.
The US has 70 million baby boomers. The Chinese have 250 million. The pattern reflects that.
That 2-3 decade upswing is the Boomers dying. Once they die it starts to plateau. The global population did in fact double from WWII to 1980
This chart represents the deaths expected in the UN, not the USA.
Right, the postwar population boom happened later in much of the world, but it's the same basic explanation for the projected rise in annual deaths. The number of deaths in this decade is mainly a function of what was happening 7 decades before.
Sure, but these statistics are from 2019. I doubt the UN was factoring covid at all in its population models in 2019, much less covid vaccines...
i agree the boomers are probably that spike this post is stupid imho
First Boomers turn 75 this year.
I work in long term care - average claim for males is age 83 and for females it is age 86. The average claim runs between 3-4 years. They fall into three groups. First group is less than one year. Second is that 3-4 year number. The balance are the long claims that tick up towards 10 years - mainly dementia.
The US has 70 million baby boomers. The Chinese have 250 million. The pattern reflects that.