It's not a leap of faith though? There's a solid line of reasoning. All nuclear "events" thus far have been access-restricted to people with the highest level of clearance. The journalism embargos after the very first "bombs" were dropped. The need for the cabal to create tragedies to distract yet these supposed weapons of mass destruction never being used for that purpose, even when their entire system is faced with the threat of elimination.

Hell the very fact that a country ruled by religious zealots supposedly has these weapons and NEVER used it, despite them apparently being super easy to steal, would raise anyone's eyebrows if they sat and thought about it a little.