People over the age of 55 in Scotland saw a surge in deaths from all causes from 24 to 30 weeks after most people in the age group received their 2nd jab. This surge in deaths peaked at over 25% higher than the 5-year average (2014-2019) for every age group in this study.
Health authorities around the world are reacting to this surge by promoting a 3rd jab. Currently over 50% of people older than 55 in Scotland have already received a “booster”. But what if the cause of this surge in deaths is the vaccine itself?
As you can see from the graphs, there is a dip in deaths at the same time people are receiving their 2nd jab. Are we becoming addicted to a shot that produces a short-term benefit followed by long term harm? Is the short-term benefit going to wane? Will future boosters “wear off” sooner and sooner? Does this remind you of any other drugs? Who is the “pusher” this time?
Percent fully vaxxed should be cumulative or renamed and a cumulative dotted line added. I understand you want to show the inflection point.
It would be very interesting to see a significance attached to this 25-ish week period it's unfortunate we don't have case-tracked data, otherwise I'd use a Weibull, not sure if this dataset could rule out a coincidence entirely (It could be that the certainty interval is too high)
The 55-59 is strange. I wonder why. Have you looked at younger people as well? Early reactions more prominent? How about Jab 1?
You are correct--I wanted to indicate the week that had the most jabs for each age group. I will add a cumulative line for future graphs if it doesn't clutter the chart too much. Any thoughts on a better name for my current vax line?
Fauci and crew have been warning of decreased vaccine efficacy over time as an argument for boosters after 6 months. Whatever the cause, the rise in mortality is significant. I have looked at other age groups in Scotland, and may report in the future as more data is posted. The increase in deaths after 2nd jab in Scotland was similar to a trend I found earlier in the US and reported here: https://patriots.win/p/140c9TQsCO/americans-aged-6574-are-dying-ap/c/
55-60 is different from the others and I don't have a guess as to why. In both the US and Scotland the 2nd jab is closest to the valley in excess deaths. In fact most of this decrease in excess deaths happens before the 1st jab in both countries. I reported on 50-54 age group here: https://greatawakening.win/p/140cWvvhHd/over-94-of-people-5054-in-scotla/c/
Vaccination Rate / time interval (1st derivative of the cumulative - time unit would be the time data's resolution)
There's a different response in age groups - see next point
I did an analysis in July looking for the efficacy for the vaccines in the UK (they've been relatively open and clear with their data). There's an inverse relationship between efficacy and age / time since vaccination (these variables are hard to separate in this dataset). At the time, the vaccine seemed to yield a ~20% reduction in hospitalizations and ~30% in death for people under 50. But ... for those above, it was the opposite. 20% more deaths and hospitalizations for vaccinated. The evolution was almost linear.
Keep in mind that the data I used came from different sources and in every case of inaccurate data or uncertainty I implemented a positive bias for the vaccine. So, realistically, results would be worse.
At the time, I attributed that to age. Now ... I'm starting to think it's time since vaccine (first dose in my case).
I agree that the UK has been pretty open with their data. With that said, I'm skeptical of any data that requires a decision to be made by a caregiver. Did the person die from pneumonia, organ failure or covid? In the US, hospitals have been complaining that their ICUs are full of unvaccinated covid patients but often, nurses that have actually asked patients in those same hospitals if they were vaxed tell a different story. This is why "death from all causes" is such a valuable data point and Scotland with such a high rate of vaccination is such a valuable resource to track.
By the way, Scotland's datasets are excellent! Other countries would benefit by following Scotland's lead on reporting vital statistics!
People over the age of 55 in Scotland saw a surge in deaths from all causes from 24 to 30 weeks after most people in the age group received their 2nd jab. This surge in deaths peaked at over 25% higher than the 5-year average (2014-2019) for every age group in this study.
Health authorities around the world are reacting to this surge by promoting a 3rd jab. Currently over 50% of people older than 55 in Scotland have already received a “booster”. But what if the cause of this surge in deaths is the vaccine itself?
As you can see from the graphs, there is a dip in deaths at the same time people are receiving their 2nd jab. Are we becoming addicted to a shot that produces a short-term benefit followed by long term harm? Is the short-term benefit going to wane? Will future boosters “wear off” sooner and sooner? Does this remind you of any other drugs? Who is the “pusher” this time?
Source for covid Vax Data: https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/phs.covid.19/viz/COVID-19DailyDashboard_15960160643010/Overview
Source for all cause deaths in Scotland: https://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/vital-events/general-publications/weekly-and-monthly-data-on-births-and-deaths/deaths-involving-coronavirus-covid-19-in-scotland/related-statistics
OK - just to make this a bit better:
Thank you for the questions!
You are correct--I wanted to indicate the week that had the most jabs for each age group. I will add a cumulative line for future graphs if it doesn't clutter the chart too much. Any thoughts on a better name for my current vax line?
Fauci and crew have been warning of decreased vaccine efficacy over time as an argument for boosters after 6 months. Whatever the cause, the rise in mortality is significant. I have looked at other age groups in Scotland, and may report in the future as more data is posted. The increase in deaths after 2nd jab in Scotland was similar to a trend I found earlier in the US and reported here: https://patriots.win/p/140c9TQsCO/americans-aged-6574-are-dying-ap/c/
55-60 is different from the others and I don't have a guess as to why. In both the US and Scotland the 2nd jab is closest to the valley in excess deaths. In fact most of this decrease in excess deaths happens before the 1st jab in both countries. I reported on 50-54 age group here: https://greatawakening.win/p/140cWvvhHd/over-94-of-people-5054-in-scotla/c/
Keep in mind that the data I used came from different sources and in every case of inaccurate data or uncertainty I implemented a positive bias for the vaccine. So, realistically, results would be worse.
At the time, I attributed that to age. Now ... I'm starting to think it's time since vaccine (first dose in my case).
I agree that the UK has been pretty open with their data. With that said, I'm skeptical of any data that requires a decision to be made by a caregiver. Did the person die from pneumonia, organ failure or covid? In the US, hospitals have been complaining that their ICUs are full of unvaccinated covid patients but often, nurses that have actually asked patients in those same hospitals if they were vaxed tell a different story. This is why "death from all causes" is such a valuable data point and Scotland with such a high rate of vaccination is such a valuable resource to track. By the way, Scotland's datasets are excellent! Other countries would benefit by following Scotland's lead on reporting vital statistics!