Imagine the vaccine is 90% effective, meaning that if you compared a sample of 100 vaxxed people and 100 unvaxxed, on average 10 vaccinated would get sick, and all the unvaccinated get sick. 10 jabbed people vs 100 pureblood people.
Now assume that 85% of the population is fully vaccinated and boosted, and 15% are unvaccinated.
So given that mix of people the infection rate would be
10% * 85% = 8.5% (The relative rate of new infections of vaxxed ppl)
100% * 15% = 15% (The relative rate of pureblood ppl)
Shit it still doesn't work. Even if the vaccine is 90% effective (which it clearly isn't), and even if the vaccination rate was 85%, which is pretty high. I don't know the numbers for Alberta/Calgary.
They CLAIM around 90% vax rate for Alberta. I don't believe that number can be 80%, and given how many people got multiple shots to travel to different countries with different requirements. The rate COULD be in the 50-60% range and I would not be surprised.
I'm guessing that their point is as follows.
Imagine the vaccine is 90% effective, meaning that if you compared a sample of 100 vaxxed people and 100 unvaxxed, on average 10 vaccinated would get sick, and all the unvaccinated get sick. 10 jabbed people vs 100 pureblood people.
Now assume that 85% of the population is fully vaccinated and boosted, and 15% are unvaccinated.
So given that mix of people the infection rate would be
10% * 85% = 8.5% (The relative rate of new infections of vaxxed ppl)
100% * 15% = 15% (The relative rate of pureblood ppl)
Shit it still doesn't work. Even if the vaccine is 90% effective (which it clearly isn't), and even if the vaccination rate was 85%, which is pretty high. I don't know the numbers for Alberta/Calgary.
I think the news story is Bullshit.
They CLAIM around 90% vax rate for Alberta. I don't believe that number can be 80%, and given how many people got multiple shots to travel to different countries with different requirements. The rate COULD be in the 50-60% range and I would not be surprised.
This is a good take
Lol.