US Bio Labs in The Ukraine: Going mainstream
(twitter.com)
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Observation and life experience, really. Not much else to say. I've made some bad logical conclusions in life, based on wrong assumptions on what I thought was fact. This led me to the observation that you can make some very well reasoned logical frameworks built on bad foundations. This happens all the time, and you can see it in the arguments by very intelligent people on the left who are thoroughly convinced they are right.
Wow, you are so right. Its a very simple concept but I've never heard it framed this way. It helps to take the edge off of being wrong for sure.
It's also a way to trap smart people, because smart people are usually confident in their assessments they've spent time on. Yet we make assumptions all the time, our whole life is based on learned things given to us from other people that we haven't proven ourselves, because it would be inefficient to always second-guess every thing we hear. Thus, lots of opportunity for mistakes.