Seems like if russia really was unhinged warmongering then why wouldnt china use this world distraction to take some land of his own?
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Whether or not Xi is a white hat, he's playing the role of villain. He's either full tyrant or good actor.
I'm leaning on the water being the better answer. 3 days from now is the last 4 year delta on Q's second "watch the water". Could refer to Taiwan's water as we approach spring (not that I claim this assertively, just theorizing).
China will almost certainly go for Taiwan when they see an opening, I'm sure. Xi dissolving the CCP would be the sort of clown world we'd hope to live in, but that is not the reality at present. At least for now.