Prediction: As part of the acquisition, there’ll be a due diligence, in which Elon Musk will audit the fake users. The audit will show Twitter users and engagement numbers are inflated with bots… by a lot. That will trigger a lawsuit on Twitter manipulating numbers for higher valuation. That’s a financial crime, and the SEC will be involved. The responsible for the inflated stock price will be sued, possibly arrested, for fraud (Jack, Parag, board of directors, CFO, other top execs, tech leads responsible for the manipulation algorithms). The audit will also reveal government involvement in directing those censoring actions (1st Amendment violation), illegal surveillance (4th Amendment violation), and electoral manipulation. Twitter stock will tank, and Elon may be entitled to a discount (write off). It might be cheap enough for DWAC to buy and incorporate the assets. Mostly my speculation, but I think a write off due to inflated numbers is likely.
Prediction: Elon will get a discount
👀 EYES ON! 👀
It's also a Double Bind within a Double Bind.
The First Double Bind was to put the BoD into a spot where if they accepted Musk's offer, they lost, and if they refused his offer, they lost (the shareholders would have eaten them alive, with lawsuits).
Elon won that one, but as with any Double Bind, he would win either way.
The Second Double Bind is that if it turns out the BoD/Twitter employees lied under oath, they lose. If they lied but they try to cover it up, they'll lose (because they will be caught). If they give up their reasons for lying, they will incriminate (most likely) people who will kill them for testifying against them, and if they do not give up their reasons for lying they will most likely get roasted anyway.
And some others:
If the SEC does its job here, Musk wins. If the SEC does not do its job, Musk gets to roast them, and he hates the SEC due to past shit they've done to him.
If it turns out that Twitter is actually owned and operated by the government, Musk (and all of us) win, as that will be the end of people wanting to go on Twitter. And Gab and/or Truth Social will win.
Also I'm seeing that the EU is now coming out trying to tell Musk he'll need to play by their rules. If they insist, Musk will just stop allowing Twitter to work in those markets and the EU populace will see the tweets in some other fashion, and it will be even clearer that the EU Emperor Has No Clothes. If the EU allows Twitter to function freely, the oligarchy loses.
This is a really good point and sounds like an art of the deal type play.
Also username checks out
Yes, "Art of the Deal".
But, crucially, it's Game Theory.
Musk is clearly interested in systems and systemic thinking. I have high confidence that he is a Game Theorist.
Oh most definitely