That's very close in naval terms. Literally their front yard, not even their backyard. Nobody has better force projection there than China, not Japan, not the US and certainly not Taiwan, which lacks capital ships, modern missiles, advanced cyber offensive/defensive capabilities, satellite destroying capabilities, etc...
All you need is an equal or great number of destroyers to screen for the subs and use the spacey-enough 130km to protec your capital ships, which will be comfy as hec and well protected near your fortified mainland coast which'll have more sonars, radars, Lidars, sats, scopes, ships, planes, subs, destroyers protectin and scanning - then a good admiral would be lambasted if even 1 capital ship sinks.
The above scenario uses conventional naval tactics with existing and Known resources, and doesn't consider the cutting edge cyber attacks that China can field, nor the fact they likely have spies in the Taiwanese military who can forward intel and possibly disable ships.
Have you ever played a strategy game where you were a large empire next to a city state and got to both dictate the unfolding of war, but do so without another country declaring war on you in turn?
A good general could win with a tiny amount of casualties.
Too far? Kek.
Taiwan Strait is 130 km at its narrowest.
That's very close in naval terms. Literally their front yard, not even their backyard. Nobody has better force projection there than China, not Japan, not the US and certainly not Taiwan, which lacks capital ships, modern missiles, advanced cyber offensive/defensive capabilities, satellite destroying capabilities, etc...
All you need is a couple of submarines lurking and taking down an entire carrier fleet with torpedoes. Amphibious operations are always risky.
All you need is an equal or great number of destroyers to screen for the subs and use the spacey-enough 130km to protec your capital ships, which will be comfy as hec and well protected near your fortified mainland coast which'll have more sonars, radars, Lidars, sats, scopes, ships, planes, subs, destroyers protectin and scanning - then a good admiral would be lambasted if even 1 capital ship sinks.
The above scenario uses conventional naval tactics with existing and Known resources, and doesn't consider the cutting edge cyber attacks that China can field, nor the fact they likely have spies in the Taiwanese military who can forward intel and possibly disable ships.
Have you ever played a strategy game where you were a large empire next to a city state and got to both dictate the unfolding of war, but do so without another country declaring war on you in turn?
A good general could win with a tiny amount of casualties.