We’ve seen wild speculation and unverified reports, but on the ground it looks like a photo op.
But if you want to know what I THINK is happening; I think Prigozhin is doing what he always does, which is say crazy shit to create the illusion of disarray, to cover for Russian tactical movement/assaults.
Just like he did in Bakhmut, he claimed Russia wasn’t giving him ammo, he was going to pull all his troops out, wanted Shoigu’s head on a platter, etc., only to turn around and finish taking Bakhmut shortly after.
I think Prigozhin and Putin are conducting a psyop to disguise Russian troop movement to either launch an offensive, or coerce Ukraine into attacking.
The only place this is a civil war is on the Internet, because the 🇺🇦 folks are eager to say and believe anything to deflect from the catastrophic losses in their holy “counter-offensive”.
Just like Belgorod, in a couple days, the NAFO trolls will be on to the next thing because this turned out to be nothing.
I take into account that the Wagner forces were replaced by the Chechen Ahmad, that among the Prigozhin Wagner people are ex-cons. And window dressing is a real thing to play a number on the opponent, i.e. NATO/CIA/ mercenary army:ISIS.
Wait and see.
added: Interesting perspective from Belarus: Military Summary.
Basically, Prigoshin did not had his contract renewed since May 23. Ukro is busy with a massive mobilization. Advantage to the current situation regarding Putin: He can declare Martial Law.
It may simply be a political stunt, or an issue that puts to much power in the hands of the Russian Army leadership, as they have their own personal army, 100.000 men.
Bioclandestine posted:
We’ve seen wild speculation and unverified reports, but on the ground it looks like a photo op.
But if you want to know what I THINK is happening; I think Prigozhin is doing what he always does, which is say crazy shit to create the illusion of disarray, to cover for Russian tactical movement/assaults.
Just like he did in Bakhmut, he claimed Russia wasn’t giving him ammo, he was going to pull all his troops out, wanted Shoigu’s head on a platter, etc., only to turn around and finish taking Bakhmut shortly after.
I think Prigozhin and Putin are conducting a psyop to disguise Russian troop movement to either launch an offensive, or coerce Ukraine into attacking.
The only place this is a civil war is on the Internet, because the 🇺🇦 folks are eager to say and believe anything to deflect from the catastrophic losses in their holy “counter-offensive”.
Just like Belgorod, in a couple days, the NAFO trolls will be on to the next thing because this turned out to be nothing.
It tend to agree with your assessment.
I take into account that the Wagner forces were replaced by the Chechen Ahmad, that among the Prigozhin Wagner people are ex-cons. And window dressing is a real thing to play a number on the opponent, i.e. NATO/CIA/ mercenary army:ISIS.
Wait and see.
added: Interesting perspective from Belarus: Military Summary.
https://rumble.com/v2w2lg0-military-coup-or-planned-action-military-summary-and-analysis-for-2023.06.2.html
Basically, Prigoshin did not had his contract renewed since May 23. Ukro is busy with a massive mobilization. Advantage to the current situation regarding Putin: He can declare Martial Law.
It may simply be a political stunt, or an issue that puts to much power in the hands of the Russian Army leadership, as they have their own personal army, 100.000 men.