It seems that the GPS satellite position accuracy is determined by terrestrial tracking as an update to its ephemeris. I am quite surprised at this improvement, but decades have passed since I worked with its performance limitations. I can't seem to find any quantitative reference to the ephemeris. The Wikipedia article on GPS ephemeris error analysis suggests that residual errors in satellite position amount to a few meters. I would be grateful if you could reference a source for your information. Even so, this would be problematic for radiation in the 1-5 centimeter band. Moreover, it would not contain pointing information. The final problem is signal timing, which would have to be provided by data link, which would incur latency errors. Still not a solved problem, in my view.
As for wildfires, they are known to leap from tree to tree, or for hot cinders to be blown by wind to outlying targets that catch fire (remember that Maui was windy at the time). No oddity for anyone familiar with wildfires. Just a deadly feature of their behavior. As for sidelobes, that is a stretch, since there is no evidence for a main lobe, and the transmitter positional errors and timing errors would produce a rapidly shifting sidelobe pattern. (This is what we see as "twinkle" from a star; the effect of the star's interference pattern shifting around with the effect of atmospheric refractive turbulence.)
Did your tires burn? Were the rims aluminum or steel? And how would that refute the fact that aluminum rims were melted in the California and Tennesse wildfires? Ignorance is no proof of hypothesis. Just because it didn't happen to you doesn't mean it didn't happen elsewhere---for which there is evidence. This is the logic of "I wasn't stung by a bee...therefore bees don't sting."
You would only need topography if you were shooting blind and open-loop. How do you get your target location...down to the fraction of a meter? This is not the method for a directed energy weapon, which requires target sensing and feedback during the shot. The scenario is magical, because all wheels were melted---which would require at least two separate---and opposing---lines of sight to the target. The target aiming spots (two on each side) would had to have been each about a meter in diameter (no melting of the body). Explain to me the wavelength, aperture diameter, shot duration, time window of opportunity, and orbital altitude for this engagement scenario. It may seem "unreasonable," but everything about DEWs depends crucially on details. Getting any one of them wrong means the shot will not be possible. I did this for a living.
So, which were these satellites? Each one would have to be tracked and equipped as a GPS class satellite, be equipped with an array aperture meters in diameter, and a powerplant and heat rejection system to operate at megawatt levels or greater. Something like that would be conspicuous as hell to any nation that monitors our launches, and there would be comment and question. Crickets.
There is a commercially available system today that permits subscribers to get satellite-based positional data that is within 1 cm. Know why? Because the largest contributor to inaccuracies in the ephemeris is simply time lag. The ephemeris is updated infrequently. And as satellites drift, the data becomes inaccurate.
But, you can buy access to a system that calculates locational data based on up-to-the-second satellite positional information. And it offers accuracy to within 1 cm. (Few use the system, because it is expensive.)
This means that ALL contributions to error resolve to within 1 cm. And that is for a present-day commercial system.
Dude. Our military systems are obviously better than that. Let's not bullshit one another. The problems you cite with regard to position and time are straight-up bullshit. Sorry, but they are.
As for your thoughts about the qualitative aspects of the fire, ask yourself: could embers realistically fly two miles, and then burn two cars to the ground, with wheels melted, only to have the fire contained to a 100 ft x 100 ft area, with no ingress or egress path? Burn that hot and then go nowhere?
Why would an emergency worker say he has a photo of a cat that died standing up, with no fur burnt? Just a dead cat, standing. Not burnt. Cooked.
Moreover, why would General Flynn post a video about directed energy weapons, and say that if you don't want conspiracy theories, you shouldn't start conspiracies?
Nothing you say makes sense. Your arguments shift. The only common aspect from post to post is that you really don't want people to believe these systems could exist. ...This makes me wonder...
It's because they don't exist. You haven't established any facts that point to their existence. Assuming they exist is not proof of anything except wishful thinking.
And also because using them in this way is flagrantly ostentatious, unnecessary, and a waste of resources. Nor is there any evidence that the event was possible. I mentioned already that in order to melt all 4 wheels, a supposed DEW would need to attack from opposite sides. Good luck with that one. Or, how do you target a microwave weapon (picking wheels, for example)? You are limited to taking blind shots. (How to you find a target out of the ground clutter? That's a classic problem with radar.) What are the technical requirements to melt the wheels: intensity on target, beam spot diameter, line of sight distance? You haven't even established basic feasibility---and I don't back down from this, because I did target effects analysis for DEWs.
Accuracy to 1 cm is very good (I tip my hat) but completely inadequate for a microwave phased array; the projection field would be an incoherent interference pattern. How about the pointing requirement, satellite to satellite? If the array elements are pointed in uncontrolled or unknown directions, they will be unable to form a coherent beam. A real system would likely need to maneuver to attain the desired array geometry, and any maneuver would degrade the position accuracy. Oh, you could have laser radars between them. But you see that the system has a complexity floor of a GPS satellite, to which is added the complexity of a power generator package, a secure communication system, and a transmitter array. Explain to me again which launches (they are all announced) are candidates for such a satellite---and its orbital parameters. Show that ANY satellite passed overhead at a time consistent with the beginning of the fires.
As for embers, that's what happens in wildfires subject to strong winds. Nothing to cool an ember if it is motionless with respect to the wind that is carrying it. Happened in California. Happened in Tennessee. You can't hide behind the notion that this event was unique and therefore inexplicable.
A verbal claim about a photo of something that was not autopsied? No explanation of circumstances? Ever heard of thermal radiation? Fires emit this all the time. It's how we use them to cook.
Who knows why General Flynn says what he says? I don't have telepathy and neither do you. Moreover, puzzling questions have no definite answer. If I could insert my favorite answer, I would pick a fire-breathing dragon. No fire-breathing dragons? Well, there was a time when received opinion was that there were no okapis, either.
My arguments remain the same. I have provided more detail. You continue to wave your arms.
It seems that the GPS satellite position accuracy is determined by terrestrial tracking as an update to its ephemeris. I am quite surprised at this improvement, but decades have passed since I worked with its performance limitations. I can't seem to find any quantitative reference to the ephemeris. The Wikipedia article on GPS ephemeris error analysis suggests that residual errors in satellite position amount to a few meters. I would be grateful if you could reference a source for your information. Even so, this would be problematic for radiation in the 1-5 centimeter band. Moreover, it would not contain pointing information. The final problem is signal timing, which would have to be provided by data link, which would incur latency errors. Still not a solved problem, in my view.
As for wildfires, they are known to leap from tree to tree, or for hot cinders to be blown by wind to outlying targets that catch fire (remember that Maui was windy at the time). No oddity for anyone familiar with wildfires. Just a deadly feature of their behavior. As for sidelobes, that is a stretch, since there is no evidence for a main lobe, and the transmitter positional errors and timing errors would produce a rapidly shifting sidelobe pattern. (This is what we see as "twinkle" from a star; the effect of the star's interference pattern shifting around with the effect of atmospheric refractive turbulence.)
Did your tires burn? Were the rims aluminum or steel? And how would that refute the fact that aluminum rims were melted in the California and Tennesse wildfires? Ignorance is no proof of hypothesis. Just because it didn't happen to you doesn't mean it didn't happen elsewhere---for which there is evidence. This is the logic of "I wasn't stung by a bee...therefore bees don't sting."
You would only need topography if you were shooting blind and open-loop. How do you get your target location...down to the fraction of a meter? This is not the method for a directed energy weapon, which requires target sensing and feedback during the shot. The scenario is magical, because all wheels were melted---which would require at least two separate---and opposing---lines of sight to the target. The target aiming spots (two on each side) would had to have been each about a meter in diameter (no melting of the body). Explain to me the wavelength, aperture diameter, shot duration, time window of opportunity, and orbital altitude for this engagement scenario. It may seem "unreasonable," but everything about DEWs depends crucially on details. Getting any one of them wrong means the shot will not be possible. I did this for a living.
So, which were these satellites? Each one would have to be tracked and equipped as a GPS class satellite, be equipped with an array aperture meters in diameter, and a powerplant and heat rejection system to operate at megawatt levels or greater. Something like that would be conspicuous as hell to any nation that monitors our launches, and there would be comment and question. Crickets.
Death,
There is a commercially available system today that permits subscribers to get satellite-based positional data that is within 1 cm. Know why? Because the largest contributor to inaccuracies in the ephemeris is simply time lag. The ephemeris is updated infrequently. And as satellites drift, the data becomes inaccurate.
But, you can buy access to a system that calculates locational data based on up-to-the-second satellite positional information. And it offers accuracy to within 1 cm. (Few use the system, because it is expensive.)
This means that ALL contributions to error resolve to within 1 cm. And that is for a present-day commercial system.
Dude. Our military systems are obviously better than that. Let's not bullshit one another. The problems you cite with regard to position and time are straight-up bullshit. Sorry, but they are.
As for your thoughts about the qualitative aspects of the fire, ask yourself: could embers realistically fly two miles, and then burn two cars to the ground, with wheels melted, only to have the fire contained to a 100 ft x 100 ft area, with no ingress or egress path? Burn that hot and then go nowhere?
Why would an emergency worker say he has a photo of a cat that died standing up, with no fur burnt? Just a dead cat, standing. Not burnt. Cooked.
Moreover, why would General Flynn post a video about directed energy weapons, and say that if you don't want conspiracy theories, you shouldn't start conspiracies?
Nothing you say makes sense. Your arguments shift. The only common aspect from post to post is that you really don't want people to believe these systems could exist. ...This makes me wonder...
It's because they don't exist. You haven't established any facts that point to their existence. Assuming they exist is not proof of anything except wishful thinking.
And also because using them in this way is flagrantly ostentatious, unnecessary, and a waste of resources. Nor is there any evidence that the event was possible. I mentioned already that in order to melt all 4 wheels, a supposed DEW would need to attack from opposite sides. Good luck with that one. Or, how do you target a microwave weapon (picking wheels, for example)? You are limited to taking blind shots. (How to you find a target out of the ground clutter? That's a classic problem with radar.) What are the technical requirements to melt the wheels: intensity on target, beam spot diameter, line of sight distance? You haven't even established basic feasibility---and I don't back down from this, because I did target effects analysis for DEWs.
Accuracy to 1 cm is very good (I tip my hat) but completely inadequate for a microwave phased array; the projection field would be an incoherent interference pattern. How about the pointing requirement, satellite to satellite? If the array elements are pointed in uncontrolled or unknown directions, they will be unable to form a coherent beam. A real system would likely need to maneuver to attain the desired array geometry, and any maneuver would degrade the position accuracy. Oh, you could have laser radars between them. But you see that the system has a complexity floor of a GPS satellite, to which is added the complexity of a power generator package, a secure communication system, and a transmitter array. Explain to me again which launches (they are all announced) are candidates for such a satellite---and its orbital parameters. Show that ANY satellite passed overhead at a time consistent with the beginning of the fires.
As for embers, that's what happens in wildfires subject to strong winds. Nothing to cool an ember if it is motionless with respect to the wind that is carrying it. Happened in California. Happened in Tennessee. You can't hide behind the notion that this event was unique and therefore inexplicable.
A verbal claim about a photo of something that was not autopsied? No explanation of circumstances? Ever heard of thermal radiation? Fires emit this all the time. It's how we use them to cook.
Who knows why General Flynn says what he says? I don't have telepathy and neither do you. Moreover, puzzling questions have no definite answer. If I could insert my favorite answer, I would pick a fire-breathing dragon. No fire-breathing dragons? Well, there was a time when received opinion was that there were no okapis, either.
My arguments remain the same. I have provided more detail. You continue to wave your arms.