Anyone consider that, if Israel ws forewarned, there was a strategic purpose in allowing the attack. Recall as an example Churchill allowing the Coventry bombings because the opportunity for a tactical win would have had an unacceptable strategic cost.
Annexation will be too costly fiscally and politically
they know (or properly should know) that if their war is against an ideology, they cannot succeed
Is the strategic value Israeli? Cui bono? In a fractured world, distracting the friends of our enemies might be strategically advantageous for the US. Who else wins by allowing the initial slaughter? Think second and third order effects and values.
To distract from the disaster of Joe Biden’s America, to create a new war and new source of DS funding, to further the fear and WW3 narrative, foment violence in the streets and ultimately to shut down or postpone 2024 election…?
So how do we build a coherent understanding and assessment of how Israel fits into a fractured and further fragmenting world? In assessing the global soup sandwich, is a US-centric view the right lens? Seems like it would be a central element of a comprehensive strategy because our military, economic and information superiority (the other element of strategic power, diplomatic, I believe we have lost).
But what else is going on? China is in a slow motion collapse that may build to a "wag the dog" attack and is facing critical instability in Myanmar with strategic minerals and access to Indian Ocean ports.
Europe faces increasing internal political and economic strife over policies from energy to farming to immigration
LatAM is schizophrenic electing left wing (Brazil) and populist/libertarian (Ecuador) leaders. Many countries are on the verge of being best described as either failed states or narco-states.
Economic and currency wars and global challenges to the USD have been ongoing for decades and are now coalescing and accelerating. This creates a new cold war style bifurcation but economic instead of military. Military will follow.
too much happening and I'm trying to step back to take a broader view, but I'm really struggling
Anyone consider that, if Israel ws forewarned, there was a strategic purpose in allowing the attack. Recall as an example Churchill allowing the Coventry bombings because the opportunity for a tactical win would have had an unacceptable strategic cost.
In that case, what is the strategic rationale?
"What is the strategic rationale?"
If they draw first blood, we aren't the bad guys.
Not my opinion, but an option for reasoning.
but to what end?
Annexation will be too costly fiscally and politically
they know (or properly should know) that if their war is against an ideology, they cannot succeed
Is the strategic value Israeli? Cui bono? In a fractured world, distracting the friends of our enemies might be strategically advantageous for the US. Who else wins by allowing the initial slaughter? Think second and third order effects and values.
To distract from the disaster of Joe Biden’s America, to create a new war and new source of DS funding, to further the fear and WW3 narrative, foment violence in the streets and ultimately to shut down or postpone 2024 election…?
So how do we build a coherent understanding and assessment of how Israel fits into a fractured and further fragmenting world? In assessing the global soup sandwich, is a US-centric view the right lens? Seems like it would be a central element of a comprehensive strategy because our military, economic and information superiority (the other element of strategic power, diplomatic, I believe we have lost).
But what else is going on? China is in a slow motion collapse that may build to a "wag the dog" attack and is facing critical instability in Myanmar with strategic minerals and access to Indian Ocean ports.
Europe faces increasing internal political and economic strife over policies from energy to farming to immigration
LatAM is schizophrenic electing left wing (Brazil) and populist/libertarian (Ecuador) leaders. Many countries are on the verge of being best described as either failed states or narco-states.
Economic and currency wars and global challenges to the USD have been ongoing for decades and are now coalescing and accelerating. This creates a new cold war style bifurcation but economic instead of military. Military will follow.
too much happening and I'm trying to step back to take a broader view, but I'm really struggling