Siege of Avdiivka: Russian Forces Cut All the Supply and Reinforcement Routes for the Ukrainians, in a Move to Encircle the City
(www.thegatewaypundit.com)
💥 UKRAINE COLLAPSE 💥
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Gateway Pundit seems behind the news in Avdiivka.
Avdiivka has not gone well for the Russians. They tried a surprise attack to encircle the city. If you look at Avdiivka, Russia is occupying land both above and below it. The northern advance gaining a few hundreds meters the first day and the southern attack failed almost entirely. Last week they were trying 60 attacks a day, now they are trying 15 per day.
Analysts have noted that a few days ago, Russian officials saying they were conducting "active combat operations," not Putin himself, changed it to "active defense operations."
https://twitter.com/TheStudyofWar/status/1713710394206724600/photo/1
So Russia had made small gains at a very high cost.
On Oct 13, Russia was estimated to have lost 1,000 troops 25 tanks 50 armored personnel carriers 44 artillery systems 33 fuel vehicles.
One reason for this is supposedly Urkaine blew up a crucial bride used for supplies 30 KM behind Russian lines.
It's possible Russia is going to regroup and eventually take Avdiivka, but these are some of the worst Russian losses in the whole war.
Not sure how accurate this is. Any cooberative sources fren?
I don't know if you trust ISW, but there maps are geolocated and have been accurate over the course of the war. Plus they link to their primary sources
In their latest report they point this assessment by a Russian military blogger https://pbs.twimg.com/media/F8anr-qX0AE7vmN?format=jpg&name=large
Russian is gaining 10 meters a day he says and suffering heavy losses, and he asks even if they take the town after a while, can this considering success.
Putin not using the word counteroffensive, but instead active defense I also think is telling. I agree that this seems to be managing expectations
https://x.com/UKikaski/status/1713484368469950869?s=20
Both Ukraine and Russia are preparing for winter. Trying to make gains before everything slows down and each side builds reinforcements.