It's not so much about how many bored LARPers there are as how many could produce a high enough quality LARP to get this type of traction. I don't know whether it's equal chance to be true or false, but I do know that things that were once very hard to believe are not that hard to believe anymore because of all the unbelievable things that have actually happened and the unbelievable things that have been exposed in the past decade or so. I have reasons to be believe the post might be legit. I have reasons to disbelieve. All I'm saying is I'm not able to rule out one or the other just out-of-hand.