The only true black swan events are Acts of God. All acts of men are predictable. We’re just pounded by the Government, big business, and the mockingbirds that something was a black swan so no one is held accountable.
Some actuary somewhere has it on a risk assessment chart where they’ve pegged the likelihood and the impact of an event. Some military or intel agency has war gamed it. Someone else has planned it. Or, some creative fiction writer has included it in a novel.
The only true black swan events are Acts of God. All acts of men are predictable. We’re just pounded by the Government, big business, and the mockingbirds that something was a black swan so no one is held accountable.
Some actuary somewhere has it on a risk assessment chart where they’ve pegged the likelihood and the impact of an event. Some military or intel agency has war gamed it. Someone else has planned it. Or, some creative fiction writer has included it in a novel.