Nice analyisis, Comex vaults have always been empty. It's paper silver and paper gold. When cashed out they get inflationary fiat not silver. This has contributed to the suppression of silver price. I am of the opinion that these preliminary uptick in price is to sucker the paper silver into selling diminishing the comex fake silver numbers. Thus will in turn allow silvers true price to begin to express itself as the fake silver no longer diluted the price. Then as you say when the dollar collapses, things in the metalnworld will get real.